Do I ship it?

GamesMotorbikeMotorbike + Adventure

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Adventure Motorbike game?

Motorbike + Adventure

Only 12 developers shipped an Adventure Motorbike game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, My Garage, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $960, ×0.6 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $420. 23 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper, while revenue is up 140% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 140% on the market, 23 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Motorbike + Adventure
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.6M → $1.3k → $239 → $2.3k → $959 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Motorbike + Adventure: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $419 (exactly $419)
Median $959 (exactly $959)
Top 25% $14k (exactly $14,398)
Top 5% $2.4M (exactly $2,404,797)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 48
Announced 23
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 140% on the market, supply 60% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Motorbike
effort 7 / 10 · low · two-wheel physics and rider animation
Adventure
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Motorbike, Adventure
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 4,918 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $420, median $960, 1 in 4 over $14k, 1 in 20 over $2.4M.

3 in 10 developers made under $420. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 23 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Motorbike with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Action-AdventureFair9 devs · median $2.3k · 12 announced
  2. + MotocrossLong shot17 devs · median $449 · 17 announced
  3. + SportsPoor odds18 devs · median $14k · 11 announced
  4. + SimulationPoor odds31 devs · median $2.3k · 36 announced
  5. + Character CustomizationPoor odds12 devs · median $1.5k · 14 announced
  6. + PhysicsPoor odds23 devs · median $1.0k · 23 announced
  7. + BikesPoor odds24 devs · median $959 · 28 announced
  8. + RacingPoor odds45 devs · median $898 · 55 announced
  9. + ActionPoor odds30 devs · median $898 · 36 announced
  10. + DrivingPoor odds33 devs · median $898 · 45 announced
  11. + Automobile SimPoor odds24 devs · median $898 · 24 announced
  12. + OffroadPoor odds11 devs · median $839 · 18 announced

All 18 pairs on the Motorbike page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Days Gone older $39.99 82,655 92% 2.5M $99M (exactly $99,161,204) Bend Studio
Ghostrunner 2 older $39.99 7,981 80% 239k $9.6M (exactly $9,574,806) One More Level
Burnout™ Paradise Remastered older $19.99 7,348 64% 220k $4.4M (exactly $4,406,596) Stellar Entertainment, Criterion Games
Laika: Aged Through Blood older $19.99 5,938 91% 178k $3.6M (exactly $3,561,019) Brainwash Gang
My Garage $19.99 4,010 90% 120k $2.4M (exactly $2,404,797) Viking Game Studio
HOT WHEELS UNLEASHED™ 2 - Turbocharged older $39.99 953 77% 29k $1.1M (exactly $1,143,314) Milestone S.r.l.
Full Throttle Remastered older $14.99 2,530 92% 76k $1.1M (exactly $1,137,741) Double Fine Productions, Shiny Shoe
MXGP - The Official Motocross Videogame older $9.99 1,289 82% 39k $386k (exactly $386,313) Milestone S.r.l.
GIRLS MADE PUDDING $9.99 866 95% 26k $260k (exactly $259,540) Kazuhide Oka
Réussir : Code de la Route - Nouvelle Édition (French Highway Code) older $14.99 500 88% 15k $225k (exactly $224,850) Smart Tale Games
風雨来記5 $59.99 8 87% 240 $14k (exactly $14,398) Nippon Ichi Software, Inc.
Delivery Up Together $5.99 13 69% 390 $2.3k (exactly $2,336) Artem Breineng
PicoMix by NuSan $6.99 7 100% 210 $1.5k (exactly $1,468) NuSan, Potico Games
MX Racing World $7.99 4 50% 120 $959 (exactly $959) Nitx Games
Autos $3.99 6 0% 180 $718 (exactly $718) Leedo Studio
Tropical Hop $15.99 1 0% 30 $480 (exactly $480) cls studios
John Fox $6.99 2 100% 60 $419 (exactly $419) 9Ratones, SergioPoverony
Motorhome: Traveling North America 2 Collector's Edition $8.99 1 100% 30 $270 (exactly $270) Avi Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.