Do I ship it?

GamesMotorbikeMotorbike + Action

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Action Motorbike game?

Motorbike + Action

Of 30 developers who shipped an Action Motorbike game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 36 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×0.6 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $420. 36 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper, while revenue is up 20% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 20% on the market, 36 announced, ×2.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Motorbike + Action
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 30
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.4k → $1.1M → $1.3k → $742 → $2.2k → $449 → $2.4k (still earning) → $480 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Motorbike + Action: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 30
Bottom 30% $419 (exactly $419)
Median $898 (exactly $898)
Top 25% $2.5k (exactly $2,545)
Top 5% $167k (exactly $167,372)
Developers, 2 yr 30
Released games 103
Announced 36
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 20% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Motorbike
effort 7 / 10 · low · two-wheel physics and rider animation
Action
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Motorbike, Action; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Racing, Arcade, Simulation
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Anime, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 75% positive over 641 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $420, median $900, 1 in 4 over $2.5k, 1 in 20 over $160k.

3 in 10 developers made under $420. 9 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 36 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Motorbike with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Action-AdventureFair9 devs · median $2.3k · 12 announced
  2. + MotocrossLong shot17 devs · median $449 · 17 announced
  3. + SportsPoor odds18 devs · median $14k · 11 announced
  4. + SimulationPoor odds31 devs · median $2.3k · 36 announced
  5. + Character CustomizationPoor odds12 devs · median $1.5k · 14 announced
  6. + PhysicsPoor odds23 devs · median $1.0k · 23 announced
  7. + BikesPoor odds24 devs · median $959 · 28 announced
  8. + AdventurePoor odds12 devs · median $959 · 23 announced
  9. + RacingPoor odds45 devs · median $898 · 55 announced
  10. + DrivingPoor odds33 devs · median $898 · 45 announced
  11. + Automobile SimPoor odds24 devs · median $898 · 24 announced
  12. + OffroadPoor odds11 devs · median $839 · 18 announced

All 18 pairs on the Motorbike page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Days Gone older $39.99 82,655 92% 2.5M $99M (exactly $99,161,204) Bend Studio
Ghostrunner 2 older $39.99 7,981 80% 239k $9.6M (exactly $9,574,806) One More Level
Road Redemption older $19.99 10,842 83% 325k $6.5M (exactly $6,501,947) Redemption Road, Pixel Dash Studios
Burnout™ Paradise Remastered older $19.99 7,348 64% 220k $4.4M (exactly $4,406,596) Stellar Entertainment, Criterion Games
Laika: Aged Through Blood older $19.99 5,938 91% 178k $3.6M (exactly $3,561,019) Brainwash Gang
Ride 2 older $24.99 2,499 87% 75k $1.9M (exactly $1,873,500) Milestone S.r.l.
MX vs. ATV Reflex older $19.99 2,904 88% 87k $1.7M (exactly $1,741,529) Rainbow Studios, THQ Nordic
No More Heroes older $19.99 2,264 84% 68k $1.4M (exactly $1,357,721) GRASSHOPPER MANUFACTURE INC.
Trials Evolution: Gold Edition older $19.99 2,253 74% 68k $1.4M (exactly $1,351,124) Redlynx Ltd, Ubisoft Shanghaï
HOT WHEELS UNLEASHED™ 2 - Turbocharged older $39.99 953 77% 29k $1.1M (exactly $1,143,314) Milestone S.r.l.
VRacer Hoverbike $29.99 307 89% 9.2k $276k (exactly $276,208) VertexBreakers
MXGP 24: The Official Game $59.99 93 26% 2.8k $167k (exactly $167,372) Artefacts Studio
Neptunia Riders VS Dogoos $39.99 113 69% 3.4k $136k (exactly $135,566) Idea Factory, Compile Heart
Moto Rush Reborn $12.99 43 97% 1.3k $17k (exactly $16,757) Baltoro Games
CODE:VALKYRIE III $19.99 6 66% 180 $3.6k (exactly $3,598) Ulimworks
Two Tired to Mountain $5.99 15 100% 450 $2.7k (exactly $2,696) Peter Schwade
Night Shift $2.99 30 66% 900 $2.7k (exactly $2,691) Cyber752
MX Bodycam Bikes Racing · EA $4.99 17 70% 510 $2.5k (exactly $2,545) GLOBAL SCRIPTUM
RollCats $19.99 4 100% 120 $2.4k (exactly $2,399) Hoglet Interactive
Delivery Up Together $5.99 13 69% 390 $2.3k (exactly $2,336) Artem Breineng

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.