Do I ship it?

Games › Motorbike › Motorbike + Racing

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Racing Motorbike game?

Motorbike + Racing

Of 45 developers who shipped a Racing Motorbike game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 55 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×0.6 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150. 55 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper, while revenue is up 500% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 500% on the market, 55 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Motorbike + Racing
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 45
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $8.4k → $7.2k → $1.2k → $239 → $2.2k → $898 → $959 (still earning) → $12k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Motorbike + Racing: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 45
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $898 (exactly $898)
Top 25% $14k (exactly $14,086)
Top 5% $2.4M (exactly $2,404,797)
Developers, 2 yr 45
Released games 177
Announced 55
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 500% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Motorbike
effort 7 / 10 · low · two-wheel physics and rider animation
Racing
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle handling, track content and opponent AI

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Motorbike, Racing; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Sports, Physics, Simulation
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $59.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Realistic, First-Person, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $59.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 30,459 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $900, 1 in 4 over $14k, 1 in 20 over $2.4M.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 7 in 10 of the 31 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 55 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Motorbike with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Action-AdventureFair9 devs · median $2.3k · 12 announced
  2. + MotocrossLong shot17 devs · median $449 · 17 announced
  3. + SportsPoor odds18 devs · median $14k · 11 announced
  4. + SimulationPoor odds31 devs · median $2.3k · 36 announced
  5. + Character CustomizationPoor odds12 devs · median $1.5k · 14 announced
  6. + PhysicsPoor odds23 devs · median $1.0k · 23 announced
  7. + BikesPoor odds24 devs · median $959 · 28 announced
  8. + AdventurePoor odds12 devs · median $959 · 23 announced
  9. + ActionPoor odds30 devs · median $898 · 36 announced
  10. + DrivingPoor odds33 devs · median $898 · 45 announced
  11. + Automobile SimPoor odds24 devs · median $898 · 24 announced
  12. + OffroadPoor odds11 devs · median $839 · 18 announced

All 18 pairs on the Motorbike page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

The Crew Motorfest 2024 · $51M MX Bikes 2019 · EA · $37M RIDE 4 2020 · $12M Mon Bazou 2025 · $9.6M Road Redemption 2017 · $6.5M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Crew Motorfest older $69.99 24,230 78% 727k $51M (exactly $50,875,731) Ubisoft Ivory Tower
MX Bikes · EA older $34.99 35,684 94% 1.1M $37M (exactly $37,457,495) PiBoSo
RIDE 4 older $39.99 9,921 83% 298k $12M (exactly $11,902,224) Milestone S.r.l.
Mon Bazou $15.99 19,922 97% 598k $9.6M (exactly $9,556,583) Santa Goat
Road Redemption older $19.99 10,842 83% 325k $6.5M (exactly $6,501,947) Redemption Road, Pixel Dash Studios
MX vs ATV Legends older $39.99 4,524 82% 136k $5.4M (exactly $5,427,443) Rainbow Studios
RIDE 5 older $49.99 3,368 82% 101k $5.1M (exactly $5,050,990) Milestone S.r.l.
Burnout™ Paradise Remastered older $19.99 7,348 64% 220k $4.4M (exactly $4,406,596) Stellar Entertainment, Criterion Games
RIDE 3 older $29.99 4,534 84% 136k $4.1M (exactly $4,079,240) Milestone S.r.l.
Sledders $29.99 4,372 95% 131k $3.9M (exactly $3,933,488) Hanki Games
My Garage $19.99 4,010 90% 120k $2.4M (exactly $2,404,797) Viking Game Studio
RIDE 6 $59.99 549 68% 16k $988k (exactly $988,035) Milestone S.r.l.
MotoGP™25 $49.99 592 74% 18k $888k (exactly $887,822) Milestone S.r.l.
Monster Energy Supercross 25 - The Official Video Game $59.99 276 49% 8.3k $497k (exactly $496,717) Milestone S.r.l.
MotoGP™26 $59.99 225 64% 6.8k $405k (exactly $404,932) Milestone S.r.l.
VRacer Hoverbike $29.99 307 89% 9.2k $276k (exactly $276,208) VertexBreakers
MXGP 24: The Official Game $59.99 93 26% 2.8k $167k (exactly $167,372) Artefacts Studio
Neptunia Riders VS Dogoos $39.99 113 69% 3.4k $136k (exactly $135,566) Idea Factory, Compile Heart

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.