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Should I ship a Bikes Motorbike game?
Bikes + Motorbike
Of 24 developers who shipped a Bikes Motorbike game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $960, ×0.6 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150. 28 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper, while revenue is up 90% on the market.
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $959 (exactly $959) |
| Top 25% | $17k (exactly $16,757) |
| Top 5% | $888k (exactly $887,822) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 24 |
| Released games | 102 |
| Announced | 28 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 90% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 2%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Bikes, Motorbike; 9 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Racing, Simulation, Sports
- Price point
- $6.99 typical · top 25% priced $59.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Realistic, First-Person, Third Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $59.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 89% positive over 6,360 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. 7 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Bikes with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SportsFair
- + Action-AdventureFair
- + SimulationFair
- + PvPFair
- + Character CustomizationFair
- + MotocrossLong shot
- + DrivingPoor odds
- + CyclingPoor odds
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + PhysicsPoor odds
- + AdventurePoor odds
- + RacingPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | MX Bikes | · EA older | $34.99 | 35,684 94% | 1.1M | $37M (exactly $37,457,495) | PiBoSo |
| | RIDE 4 | older | $39.99 | 9,921 83% | 298k | $12M (exactly $11,902,224) | Milestone S.r.l. |
| | RIDE 5 | older | $49.99 | 3,368 82% | 101k | $5.1M (exactly $5,050,990) | Milestone S.r.l. |
| | RIDE 3 | older | $29.99 | 4,534 84% | 136k | $4.1M (exactly $4,079,240) | Milestone S.r.l. |
| | Sledders | $29.99 | 4,372 95% | 131k | $3.9M (exactly $3,933,488) | Hanki Games | |
| | Ride 2 | older | $24.99 | 2,499 87% | 75k | $1.9M (exactly $1,873,500) | Milestone S.r.l. |
| | MX vs. ATV Reflex | older | $19.99 | 2,904 88% | 87k | $1.7M (exactly $1,741,529) | Rainbow Studios, THQ Nordic |
| | TrackDayR | · EA older | $24.99 | 2,213 86% | 66k | $1.7M (exactly $1,659,086) | MadCow S.r.l. |
| | MX vs ATV All Out | older | $39.99 | 1,332 81% | 40k | $1.6M (exactly $1,598,000) | Rainbow Studios |
| | MXGP 2021 - The Official Motocross Videogame | older | $39.99 | 1,165 85% | 35k | $1.4M (exactly $1,397,650) | Milestone S.r.l. |
| | RIDE 6 | $59.99 | 549 68% | 16k | $988k (exactly $988,035) | Milestone S.r.l. | |
| | MotoGP™25 | $49.99 | 592 74% | 18k | $888k (exactly $887,822) | Milestone S.r.l. | |
| | MotoGP™26 | $59.99 | 225 64% | 6.8k | $405k (exactly $404,932) | Milestone S.r.l. | |
| | VRacer Hoverbike | $29.99 | 307 89% | 9.2k | $276k (exactly $276,208) | VertexBreakers | |
| | Motorcycle Night Ride | · EA | $5.99 | 213 76% | 6.4k | $38k (exactly $38,276) | Suber Game Studio, Room Games |
| | Dramatic Road : the origin of wind | $13.99 | 42 97% | 1.3k | $18k (exactly $17,627) | Alaska Ohdanbu | |
| | Moto Rush Reborn | $12.99 | 43 97% | 1.3k | $17k (exactly $16,757) | Baltoro Games | |
| | 風雨来記5 | $59.99 | 8 87% | 240 | $14k (exactly $14,398) | Nippon Ichi Software, Inc. | |
| | Grind Rush | $15.99 | 9 66% | 270 | $4.3k (exactly $4,317) | AND GEAR |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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