Should I ship a Pinball game?
Pinball
Of 94 developers who shipped a Pinball game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 112 more are announced.
Verdict: fair, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.0k, ×4.3 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $450. Revenue is flat on the market; 112 games are announced against 71 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $450 (exactly $450) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.0k (exactly $2,035) |
| Top 25% | $13k (exactly $13,250) |
| Top 5% | $133k (exactly $132,662) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 94 |
| Released games | 248 |
| Announced | 112 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 210% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Pinball
- effort 3 / 10 · medium · ball physics and table feel need tuning, not text logic
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Pinball
- Price point
- $6.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 83% positive over 8,855 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $450. 8 in 10 of the 26 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 112 games are announced against 71 developers who shipped in the last year.
All pairs with Pinball
- Pinball + Platformer Strong odds $2.5k
- Simulation + Pinball Fair $8.2k
- Adventure + Pinball Fair $8.1k
- Action + Pinball Fair $2.6k
- Physics + Pinball Fair $2.5k
- 2D Platformer + Pinball Fair $1.6k
- Arcade + Pinball Fair $1.2k
- Pinball + Score Attack Fair $719
- Sports + Pinball Fair $600
- Strategy + Pinball Poor odds $8.2k
- Pinball + Roguelike Poor odds $5.8k
- Pinball + Roguelite Poor odds $4.6k
- Pinball + Puzzle Poor odds $2.5k
Comparable games
Peglin 2024 · $10M 
Yoku's Island Express 2018 · $1.9M 
Peggle Deluxe 2007 · $1.9M 
Fortune Mill 2026 · $890k 
Ballionaire 2024 · $888k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Peglin | older | $19.99 | 16,626 83% | 499k | $10M (exactly $9,970,612) | Red Nexus Games Inc. |
| | Yoku's Island Express | older | $19.99 | 3,220 96% | 97k | $1.9M (exactly $1,931,034) | Villa Gorilla |
| | Peggle Deluxe | older | $4.99 | 12,613 97% | 378k | $1.9M (exactly $1,888,166) | PopCap Games, Inc. |
| | Fortune Mill | $7.99 | 3,712 81% | 111k | $890k (exactly $889,766) | Lavaflame2 | |
| | Ballionaire | $12.34 | 2,398 85% | 72k | $888k (exactly $887,740) | newobject | |
 | SENRAN KAGURA Peach Ball | older | $29.99 | 796 87% | 24k | $716k (exactly $716,161) | Tamsoft |
 | DEMON'S TILT | older | $19.99 | 962 94% | 29k | $577k (exactly $576,911) | WIZNWAR, FLARB LLC |
 | XENOTILT: HOSTILE PINBALL ACTION | $19.99 | 770 96% | 23k | $462k (exactly $461,769) | WIZNWAR, FLARB LLC | |
 | Racket: Nx | older | $19.99 | 493 95% | 15k | $296k (exactly $295,652) | One Hamsa |
 | Roundguard | older | $19.99 | 449 80% | 13k | $269k (exactly $269,265) | Wonderbelly Games |
 | Pinball Spire | $14.99 | 410 84% | 12k | $184k (exactly $184,377) | Apparition Games | |
 | Flick Shot Rogues | $14.99 | 295 87% | 8.9k | $133k (exactly $132,662) | Butter By The Fish | |
 | Cult of PiN | $14.99 | 184 77% | 5.5k | $83k (exactly $82,745) | KennyMakesGames | |
 | Plinbo: Roguelike Plinko | $6.99 | 379 67% | 11k | $79k (exactly $79,476) | Raphus & Co. | |
 | Pegfinity | $6.99 | 347 76% | 10k | $73k (exactly $72,766) | Fragment Ventures AS | |
 | Pinball Wicked | $7.99 | 235 87% | 7.1k | $56k (exactly $56,330) | Formslingers | |
 | Super Cabbage Kabumi | $14.99 | 125 67% | 3.8k | $56k (exactly $56,212) | Vividesca Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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