Games › Pinball › Pinball + Puzzle
Should I ship a Puzzle Pinball game?
Pinball + Puzzle
Only 9 developers shipped a Puzzle Pinball game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Pinball Spire, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.5k, ×5.4 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $180k, ×388 the market median. Revenue is down 35% on the market; 13 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $120 (exactly $120) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.5k (exactly $2,548) |
| Top 25% | $8.2k (exactly $8,234) |
| Top 5% | $184k (exactly $184,377) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 9 |
| Released games | 37 |
| Announced | 13 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Pinball, Puzzle
- Price point
- $4.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 95% positive over 14,356 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $120. 13 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Pinball with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + PlatformerStrong odds
- + SimulationFair
- + AdventureFair
- + FantasyFair
- + ActionFair
- + PhysicsFair
- + 2D PlatformerFair
- + ArcadeFair
- + Score AttackFair
- + SportsFair
- + StrategyPoor odds
- + RoguelikePoor odds
Comparable games
Peggle Deluxe 2007 · $1.9M 
Roundguard 2020 · $269k 
Pinball Spire 2024 · $184k 
Rollers of the Realm 2014 · $112k 
The Repair House: Restoration Sim 2023 · $56k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Peggle Deluxe | older | $4.99 | 12,613 97% | 378k | $1.9M (exactly $1,888,166) | PopCap Games, Inc. |
| | Roundguard | older | $19.99 | 449 80% | 13k | $269k (exactly $269,265) | Wonderbelly Games |
| | Pinball Spire | $14.99 | 410 84% | 12k | $184k (exactly $184,377) | Apparition Games | |
| | Rollers of the Realm | older | $9.99 | 375 90% | 11k | $112k (exactly $112,388) | Phantom Compass |
| | The Repair House: Restoration Sim | older | $19.99 | 94 52% | 2.8k | $56k (exactly $56,372) | Claudiu Kiss, QUANTUM LOGIC GAMES |
 | Brick Breaker | older | $9.99 | 147 44% | 4.4k | $44k (exactly $44,056) | Sanuk Games |
 | Beast Breaker | $14.99 | 67 95% | 2.0k | $30k (exactly $30,130) | Vodeo Games, Huey Games | |
 | On A Roll 3D | older | $3.99 | 99 93% | 3.0k | $12k (exactly $11,850) | Battenberg Software |
 | Resultare | $4.99 | 55 90% | 1.7k | $8.2k (exactly $8,234) | Good Day Games | |
 | Vaporwave Pinball | $4.99 | 47 85% | 1.4k | $7.0k (exactly $7,036) | Jamie D, Mixtape Games UK | |
 | FlipScapes | $16.99 | 5 80% | 150 | $2.5k (exactly $2,548) | OmniScapes Interactive | |
 | Mr. Goofer’s Mini Game Arcade Party! | $4.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $150 (exactly $150) | Svinta, Keri | |
 | Suika Pets | $3.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $120 (exactly $120) | BitSquish | |
 | Dinerball Z | $0.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $30 (exactly $30) | Terapoly | |
 | TAMA JIGOKU | $1.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Deathtrap |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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