Do I ship it?

Games › Pinball › Pinball + Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Pinball Platformer?

Pinball + Platformer

Only 10 developers shipped a Pinball Platformer in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Pinball Spire, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 6 more are announced.

Verdict: strong odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.5k, ×5.3 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 7 in 10 cleared $1.6k. Revenue is up 115% on the market; 6 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×0.9 per shipper.

Deciding numbers: median 5.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 115% on the market, 6 announced, ×0.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Pinball + Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.1k → $8.1k → $599 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Pinball + Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $1.6k (exactly $1,647)
Median $2.5k (exactly $2,516)
Top 25% $8.1k (exactly $8,092)
Top 5% $184k (exactly $184,377)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 27
Announced 6
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 115% on the market, supply 135% more developers than the period before.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Pinball
effort 3 / 10 · medium · ball physics and table feel need tuning, not text logic
Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Pinball, Platformer
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 86% positive over 616 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.7k, median $2.5k, 1 in 4 over $8.0k, 1 in 20 over $180k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.7k. 6 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Pinball with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SimulationFair27 devs · median $8.2k · 28 announced
  2. + AdventureFair11 devs · median $8.1k · 17 announced
  3. + FantasyFair13 devs · median $2.9k · 20 announced
  4. + ActionFair42 devs · median $2.6k · 48 announced
  5. + PhysicsFair62 devs · median $2.5k · 80 announced
  6. + 2D PlatformerFair13 devs · median $1.6k · 9 announced
  7. + ArcadeFair73 devs · median $1.2k · 76 announced
  8. + Score AttackFair24 devs · median $719 · 34 announced
  9. + SportsFair11 devs · median $600 · 7 announced
  10. + StrategyPoor odds28 devs · median $8.2k · 58 announced
  11. + RoguelikePoor odds22 devs · median $5.8k · 56 announced
  12. + RoguelitePoor odds24 devs · median $4.6k · 59 announced

All 13 pairs on the Pinball page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Yoku's Island Express 2018 · $1.9M Pinball Spire 2024 · $184k FlippUp 2025 · $23k On A Roll 3D 2015 · $12k Super High Ball: Pinball Platformer 2021 · $10k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Yoku's Island Express older $19.99 3,220 96% 97k $1.9M (exactly $1,931,034) Villa Gorilla
Pinball Spire $14.99 410 84% 12k $184k (exactly $184,377) Apparition Games
FlippUp $9.99 76 84% 2.3k $23k (exactly $22,777) Try Again Entertainment
On A Roll 3D older $3.99 99 93% 3.0k $12k (exactly $11,850) Battenberg Software
Super High Ball: Pinball Platformer older $9.99 35 97% 1.1k $10k (exactly $10,490) Emberstone Interactive
A Pinball Game That Makes You Mad $9.99 27 81% 810 $8.1k (exactly $8,092) Azimuth Studios
MONUMENTUM $3.99 63 95% 1.9k $7.5k (exactly $7,541) Jakob Scott
Deep Under the Sky older $9.99 17 94% 510 $5.1k (exactly $5,095) RichMakeGame, Colin Northway
Darkanoid older $2.99 52 92% 1.6k $4.7k (exactly $4,664) Shezo Games
Black hole Escape older $5.99 19 84% 570 $3.4k (exactly $3,414) Teleportsoft
Pinfall $6.99 12 83% 360 $2.5k (exactly $2,516) PIXELNASU
POROTO $4.99 14 100% 420 $2.1k (exactly $2,096) Edu Vasquez
ODYSSEY: Starship Pinball · EA $4.99 11 100% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) Clip Through Interactive
AnimalFruitTart $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) tsubogames
Mr. Goofer’s Mini Game Arcade Party! $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Svinta, Keri
Ex Scroller Pinball $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Game Fragment

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.