Games › Adventure › Adventure + Pinball
Should I ship a Pinball Adventure game?
Adventure + Pinball
Only 11 developers shipped a Pinball Adventure game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Pinball Spire, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced.
Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $8.1k, ×17 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $2.6k. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 17 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $2.5k (exactly $2,548) |
|---|---|
| Median | $8.1k (exactly $8,092) |
| Top 25% | $24k (exactly $23,676) |
| Top 5% | $184k (exactly $184,377) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 11 |
| Released games | 29 |
| Announced | 17 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 350% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Adventure, Pinball
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 85% positive over 788 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $2.6k. 17 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Adventure with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SamuraiFair
- + FMVFair
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + Escape RoomFair
- + Mini GolfFair
- + SportsFair
- + GolfFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + Time AttackFair
- + Traditional RoguelikeFair
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + WuxiaPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Yoku's Island Express | older | $19.99 | 3,220 96% | 97k | $1.9M (exactly $1,931,034) | Villa Gorilla |
| | Pinball Spire | $14.99 | 410 84% | 12k | $184k (exactly $184,377) | Apparition Games | |
| | Rollers of the Realm | older | $9.99 | 375 90% | 11k | $112k (exactly $112,388) | Phantom Compass |
| | Karma City Police | older | $11.99 | 103 81% | 3.1k | $37k (exactly $37,049) | mecagames |
| | Witcheye | older | $4.99 | 233 87% | 7.0k | $35k (exactly $34,880) | Moon Kid |
| | Ricochet Abyss | · EA | $12.99 | 78 75% | 2.3k | $30k (exactly $30,397) | DreamForge |
| | Jump the Track | $9.99 | 79 96% | 2.4k | $24k (exactly $23,676) | Seed by Seed | |
| | FlippUp | $9.99 | 76 84% | 2.3k | $23k (exactly $22,777) | Try Again Entertainment | |
| | Caromble! | $12.99 | 34 73% | 1.0k | $13k (exactly $13,250) | Crimson Owl Studios | |
| | On A Roll 3D | older | $3.99 | 99 93% | 3.0k | $12k (exactly $11,850) | Battenberg Software |
| | A Pinball Game That Makes You Mad | $9.99 | 27 81% | 810 | $8.1k (exactly $8,092) | Azimuth Studios | |
| | MONUMENTUM | $3.99 | 63 95% | 1.9k | $7.5k (exactly $7,541) | Jakob Scott | |
| | FlipScapes | $16.99 | 5 80% | 150 | $2.5k (exactly $2,548) | OmniScapes Interactive | |
| | ODYSSEY: Starship Pinball | · EA | $4.99 | 11 100% | 330 | $1.6k (exactly $1,647) | Clip Through Interactive |
| | Dino Land 「超闘竜烈伝ディノランド」 | $5.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $898 (exactly $898) | Ratalaika Games S.L., Shinyuden |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.