Do I ship it?

GamesPinballPinball + Score Attack

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Pinball Score Attack game?

Pinball + Score Attack

Of 24 developers who shipped a Pinball Score Attack game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 34 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×1.5 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $360. Revenue is up 45% on the market; 34 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 45% on the market, 34 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Pinball + Score Attack
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 24
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $599 → $1.1k → $2.1k → $1.8k → $1.2k (still earning) → $628 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Pinball + Score Attack: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 24
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $719 (exactly $719)
Top 25% $13k (exactly $13,250)
Top 5% $73k (exactly $72,766)
Developers, 2 yr 24
Released games 64
Announced 34
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 45% on the market, supply 400% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Pinball
effort 3 / 10 · medium · ball physics and table feel need tuning, not text logic
Score Attack
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Pinball, Score Attack; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Arcade, Physics, Action
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $15.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, 2D, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $15.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 780 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $720, 1 in 4 over $13k, 1 in 20 over $72k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 34 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Pinball with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + PlatformerStrong odds10 devs · median $2.5k · 6 announced
  2. + SimulationFair27 devs · median $8.2k · 28 announced
  3. + AdventureFair11 devs · median $8.1k · 17 announced
  4. + FantasyFair13 devs · median $2.9k · 20 announced
  5. + ActionFair42 devs · median $2.6k · 48 announced
  6. + PhysicsFair62 devs · median $2.5k · 80 announced
  7. + 2D PlatformerFair13 devs · median $1.6k · 9 announced
  8. + ArcadeFair73 devs · median $1.2k · 76 announced
  9. + SportsFair11 devs · median $600 · 7 announced
  10. + StrategyPoor odds28 devs · median $8.2k · 58 announced
  11. + RoguelikePoor odds22 devs · median $5.8k · 56 announced
  12. + RoguelitePoor odds24 devs · median $4.6k · 59 announced

All 13 pairs on the Pinball page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
DEMON'S TILT older $19.99 962 94% 29k $577k (exactly $576,911) WIZNWAR, FLARB LLC
Pinball FX Classic VR older $14.99 376 84% 11k $169k (exactly $169,087) Zen Studios
Zombie Rollerz: Pinball Heroes older $14.99 308 83% 9.2k $139k (exactly $138,508) Zing Games Inc.
Star Wars™ Pinball VR older $24.99 180 41% 5.4k $135k (exactly $134,946) Zen Studios
Cult of PiN $14.99 184 77% 5.5k $83k (exactly $82,745) KennyMakesGames
Pegfinity $6.99 347 76% 10k $73k (exactly $72,766) Fragment Ventures AS
Worms Pinball older $7.99 217 67% 6.5k $52k (exactly $52,015) Team17 Digital Ltd
ploink $12.99 91 96% 2.7k $35k (exactly $35,463) Pyrocreep
Racket Pinball $19.99 37 91% 1.1k $22k (exactly $22,189) NiVision
Runix: Pinball Roguelike $15.99 40 87% 1.2k $19k (exactly $19,188) Meteor Forge
Caromble! $12.99 34 73% 1.0k $13k (exactly $13,250) Crimson Owl Studios
POROTO $4.99 14 100% 420 $2.1k (exactly $2,096) Edu Vasquez
Pinball Hero $3.99 17 76% 510 $2.0k (exactly $2,035) COSO
Super Pinball Adventure $4.99 12 91% 360 $1.8k (exactly $1,796) tombasche
Porn Pinball $9.99 4 0% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Samejima

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.