Games › Strategy › Strategy + Pinball
Should I ship a Pinball Strategy game?
Strategy + Pinball
Of 28 developers who shipped a Pinball Strategy game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 58 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $8.2k, ×13 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.3k; 1 in 20 cleared $130k, ×211 the market median. Revenue is up 415% on the market; 58 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $2.3k (exactly $2,274) |
|---|---|
| Median | $8.2k (exactly $8,234) |
| Top 25% | $35k (exactly $35,463) |
| Top 5% | $133k (exactly $132,662) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 28 |
| Released games | 38 |
| Announced | 58 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 415% on the market, supply 735% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Strategy, Pinball; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Roguelike, Arcade, Deckbuilding
- Price point
- $6.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, 2D, Colorful
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 83% positive over 3,954 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $2.3k. 58 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Strategy with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + BaseballFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + WuxiaFair
- + FarmingFair
- + Martial ArtsFair
- + SubmarineFair
- + NavalFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Shop KeeperFair
- + HackingFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Peglin | older | $19.99 | 16,626 83% | 499k | $10M (exactly $9,970,612) | Red Nexus Games Inc. |
| | Peggle Deluxe | older | $4.99 | 12,613 97% | 378k | $1.9M (exactly $1,888,166) | PopCap Games, Inc. |
| | Ballionaire | $12.34 | 2,398 85% | 72k | $888k (exactly $887,740) | newobject | |
| | Flick Shot Rogues | $14.99 | 295 87% | 8.9k | $133k (exactly $132,662) | Butter By The Fish | |
| | Cult of PiN | $14.99 | 184 77% | 5.5k | $83k (exactly $82,745) | KennyMakesGames | |
| | Plinbo: Roguelike Plinko | $6.99 | 379 67% | 11k | $79k (exactly $79,476) | Raphus & Co. | |
| | Super Cabbage Kabumi | $14.99 | 125 67% | 3.8k | $56k (exactly $56,212) | Vividesca Games | |
| | Idle Gumball Machine | $4.99 | 255 90% | 7.7k | $38k (exactly $38,174) | Antique Gear Games | |
| | ploink | $12.99 | 91 96% | 2.7k | $35k (exactly $35,463) | Pyrocreep | |
| | Ricochet Abyss | · EA | $12.99 | 78 75% | 2.3k | $30k (exactly $30,397) | DreamForge |
| | Beast Breaker | $14.99 | 67 95% | 2.0k | $30k (exactly $30,130) | Vodeo Games, Huey Games | |
| | Ballatory | $7.99 | 82 78% | 2.5k | $20k (exactly $19,655) | Mini Fun Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.