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Should I ship a Pinball Roguelite?
Pinball + Roguelite
Of 24 developers who shipped a Pinball Roguelite in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 59 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $4.6k, ×9.7 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $900; 1 in 20 cleared $130k, ×279 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 59 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $898 (exactly $898) |
|---|---|
| Median | $4.6k (exactly $4,585) |
| Top 25% | $19k (exactly $19,188) |
| Top 5% | $133k (exactly $132,662) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 24 |
| Released games | 31 |
| Announced | 59 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 1000% more developers than the period before.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Pinball, Roguelite; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Roguelike, Deckbuilding, Physics
- Price point
- $6.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Relaxing, 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 84% positive over 3,340 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $900. 59 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Pinball with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + PlatformerStrong odds
- + SimulationFair
- + AdventureFair
- + FantasyFair
- + ActionFair
- + PhysicsFair
- + 2D PlatformerFair
- + ArcadeFair
- + Score AttackFair
- + SportsFair
- + StrategyPoor odds
- + RoguelikePoor odds
Comparable games
Peglin 2024 · $10M 
Ballionaire 2024 · $888k 
Roundguard 2020 · $269k 
Go Mecha Ball 2024 · $222k 
Zombie Rollerz: Pinball Heroes 2022 · $139k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Peglin | older | $19.99 | 16,626 83% | 499k | $10M (exactly $9,970,612) | Red Nexus Games Inc. |
| | Ballionaire | $12.34 | 2,398 85% | 72k | $888k (exactly $887,740) | newobject | |
| | Roundguard | older | $19.99 | 449 80% | 13k | $269k (exactly $269,265) | Wonderbelly Games |
| | Go Mecha Ball | older | $19.99 | 371 85% | 11k | $222k (exactly $222,489) | Whale Peak Games |
| | Zombie Rollerz: Pinball Heroes | older | $14.99 | 308 83% | 9.2k | $139k (exactly $138,508) | Zing Games Inc. |
 | Flick Shot Rogues | $14.99 | 295 87% | 8.9k | $133k (exactly $132,662) | Butter By The Fish | |
 | Cult of PiN | $14.99 | 184 77% | 5.5k | $83k (exactly $82,745) | KennyMakesGames | |
 | Super Cabbage Kabumi | $14.99 | 125 67% | 3.8k | $56k (exactly $56,212) | Vividesca Games | |
 | ploink | $12.99 | 91 96% | 2.7k | $35k (exactly $35,463) | Pyrocreep | |
 | Runix: Pinball Roguelike | $15.99 | 40 87% | 1.2k | $19k (exactly $19,188) | Meteor Forge | |
 | Pachinko Farm | · EA | $6.99 | 78 76% | 2.3k | $16k (exactly $16,357) | Witchcraft Entertainment |
 | 100FRIENDS | $9.99 | 32 87% | 960 | $9.6k (exactly $9,590) | TWIN PIXELS | |
 | Resultare | $4.99 | 55 90% | 1.7k | $8.2k (exactly $8,234) | Good Day Games | |
 | Buster Breaks Out | $4.99 | 42 92% | 1.3k | $6.3k (exactly $6,287) | Nose Corporation |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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