Games › Open World › Open World + Dogs
Should I ship a Dog Open World game?
Open World + Dogs
Of 26 developers who shipped a Dog Open World game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 42 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $3.0k, ×2.0 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $200; 1 in 20 cleared $2.7M, ×1829 the market median. Revenue is down 50% on the market; 42 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $200 (exactly $200) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.0k (exactly $2,998) |
| Top 25% | $17k (exactly $16,796) |
| Top 5% | $2.7M (exactly $2,739,586) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 26 |
| Released games | 81 |
| Announced | 42 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Open World
- effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
- Dogs
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- Open World; 3 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Action
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Story Rich, Cute
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 79% positive over 13,275 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $200. 8 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 42 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Open World with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + WuxiaFair
- + 4 Player LocalFair
- + VampiresFair
- + TrainsFair
- + FMVFair
- + GothicFair
- + MarsFair
- + TanksFair
- + FaithLong shot
- + DiplomacyPoor odds
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + Co-op CampaignPoor odds
Comparable games
Watch_Dogs™ 2014 · $30M 
Like a Dragon Gaiden: The Man Who Erased His Name 2023 · $14M 
Beast of Reincarnation 2026 · $7.5M 
Necromunda: Hired Gun 2021 · $7.1M 
Okami HD 2017 · $4.9M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Watch_Dogs™ | older | $19.99 | 49,193 79% | 1.5M | $30M (exactly $29,501,042) | Ubisoft |
| | Like a Dragon Gaiden: The Man Who Erased His Name | older | $49.99 | 9,118 95% | 274k | $14M (exactly $13,674,265) | RGG Studio |
| | Beast of Reincarnation | $59.99 | 4,188 56% | 126k | $7.5M (exactly $7,537,144) | GAME FREAK inc. | |
| | Necromunda: Hired Gun | older | $39.99 | 5,892 68% | 177k | $7.1M (exactly $7,068,632) | Streum On Studio |
| | Okami HD | older | $19.99 | 8,226 92% | 247k | $4.9M (exactly $4,933,132) | CAPCOM Co., Ltd. |
 | Carnal Instinct | · EA older | $29.99 | 5,407 82% | 162k | $4.9M (exactly $4,864,678) | Team Carnal Instinct |
 | Enigma of Fear | $29.99 | 3,045 95% | 91k | $2.7M (exactly $2,739,586) | Dumativa, Cellbit | |
 | Cat Quest II | older | $14.99 | 5,850 95% | 176k | $2.6M (exactly $2,630,745) | The Gentlebros |
 | No Place Like Home | older | $19.99 | 3,784 78% | 114k | $2.3M (exactly $2,269,265) | Chicken Launcher |
 | Copycat | $14.99 | 4,611 89% | 138k | $2.1M (exactly $2,073,567) | Spoonful Of Wonder | |
 | Animal Shelter 2 | $24.99 | 1,204 79% | 36k | $903k (exactly $902,639) | Games Incubator | |
 | A Corgi's Cozy Hike | $19.99 | 63 100% | 1.9k | $38k (exactly $37,781) | Scalisco | |
 | The Good Dog: Chasing Shadows | · EA | $14.99 | 79 86% | 2.4k | $36k (exactly $35,526) | Poultry Party Games |
 | PAW Patrol™: Dino World | $39.99 | 14 64% | 420 | $17k (exactly $16,796) | 3DClouds | |
 | Animal Trainer Simulator | $14.99 | 29 37% | 870 | $13k (exactly $13,041) | Games Incubator | |
 | Lighthaze World | $18.99 | 16 100% | 480 | $9.1k (exactly $9,115) | Radiobush | |
 | Sands of Hope | $10.99 | 26 84% | 780 | $8.6k (exactly $8,572) | Guateke Studios |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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