Do I ship it?

Games › Open World › Open World + Wuxia

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Wuxia Open World game?

Open World + Wuxia

Only 12 developers shipped a Wuxia Open World game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Scroll of Taiwu : Beyond The Dome, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $630k, ×423 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $200k. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 17 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 423.3 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 17 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Open World + Wuxia
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Open World + Wuxia: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $198k (exactly $198,318)
Median $634k (exactly $634,151)
Top 25% $2.3M (exactly $2,270,092)
Top 5% $51M (exactly $50,864,540)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 37
Announced 17
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 400% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 24%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Open World
effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
Wuxia
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Open World
Price point
$14.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 68% positive over 78,981 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $200k, median $630k, 1 in 4 over $2.2M, 1 in 20 over $50M.

3 in 10 developers made under $200k. 17 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Open World with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + 4 Player LocalFair14 devs · median $82k · 20 announced
  2. + VampiresFair15 devs · median $23k · 21 announced
  3. + TrainsFair27 devs · median $21k · 25 announced
  4. + FMVFair11 devs · median $14k · 13 announced
  5. + GothicFair25 devs · median $5.4k · 32 announced
  6. + MarsFair12 devs · median $2.2k · 15 announced
  7. + TanksFair9 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  8. + FaithLong shot11 devs · median $716 · 14 announced
  9. + DiplomacyPoor odds13 devs · median $1.8M · 38 announced
  10. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds8 devs · median $767k · 11 announced
  11. + Co-op CampaignPoor odds17 devs · median $267k · 65 announced
  12. + MusicPoor odds10 devs · median $148k · 25 announced

All 240 pairs on the Open World page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

The Scroll of Taiwu : Beyond The Dome 2026 · $51M Gujian3(古剑奇谭三) 2018 · $37M Wandering Sword 2023 · $28M Amazing Cultivation Simulator 2020 · $14M Sword and Fairy 7 2021 · $14M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Scroll of Taiwu : Beyond The Dome $29.99 56,535 65% 1.7M $51M (exactly $50,864,540) ConchShip Games
Gujian3(古剑奇谭三) older $29.99 40,829 85% 1.2M $37M (exactly $36,733,851) 上海烛龙信息科技有限公司, Aurogon Shanghai
Wandering Sword older $24.99 37,034 94% 1.1M $28M (exactly $27,764,390) The Swordman Studio
Amazing Cultivation Simulator older $24.99 19,111 85% 573k $14M (exactly $14,327,517) GSQ Games
Sword and Fairy 7 older $29.99 15,567 72% 467k $14M (exactly $14,005,630) 软星科技(SoftStarlight)
Hero's Adventure: Road to Passion older $17.99 22,287 84% 669k $12M (exactly $12,028,294) 半瓶醋工作室（Half Amateur Studio）
Xuan-Yuan Sword VII older $34.99 8,490 62% 255k $8.9M (exactly $8,911,953) SOFTSTAR, DOMO Studio
Fate Seeker II older $22.60 11,360 88% 341k $7.7M (exactly $7,702,080) JSL Entertainment
下一站江湖Ⅱ older $24.99 8,507 72% 255k $6.4M (exactly $6,377,698) 白玉京工作室
The Wind Road older $29.99 5,920 69% 178k $5.3M (exactly $5,326,224) 甘肃嘉元数字科技有限公司
龙胤立志传 $19.99 7,153 77% 215k $4.3M (exactly $4,289,654) TPP Studio
Eastern Era $24.99 3,028 65% 91k $2.3M (exactly $2,270,092) FunYoo Games
Path of Kung Fu $14.99 4,880 72% 146k $2.2M (exactly $2,194,536) 游鲤化龙工作室
Beast Saga $20.99 2,714 80% 81k $1.7M (exactly $1,709,006) 嘉兴黑曜石(Jiaxing Obsidian)
Destiny of Immortal · EA $11.99 1,763 80% 53k $634k (exactly $634,151) LeiYun Games
Halcyon Days at Taoyuan $11.99 1,089 89% 33k $392k (exactly $391,713) BotanX
万象群侠传 $8.99 853 85% 26k $230k (exactly $230,054) 火天工作室
Soul's Chronicle: Immortal Slayer $14.99 441 77% 13k $198k (exactly $198,318) 正向星光工作室
Warlords Battleground: Extraction $11.99 525 84% 16k $189k (exactly $188,842) 绝汪

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.