Do I ship it?

GamesOpen WorldOpen World + Faith

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Faith Open World game?

Open World + Faith

Only 11 developers shipped a Faith Open World game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, I Am Jesus Christ, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced.

Verdict: long shot, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×0.5 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, but 1 in 20 cleared $890k, ×595 the market median. Revenue is up 115% on the market; 14 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 115% on the market, 14 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Open World + Faith
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Open World + Faith: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $716 (exactly $716)
Top 25% $5.9k (exactly $5,937)
Top 5% $891k (exactly $891,154)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 25
Announced 14
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 115% on the market, supply 165% more developers than the period before.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Open World
effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
Faith
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Open World
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 1,616 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $720, 1 in 4 over $5.9k, 1 in 20 over $890k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 14 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Open World with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + WuxiaFair12 devs · median $634k · 17 announced
  2. + 4 Player LocalFair14 devs · median $82k · 20 announced
  3. + VampiresFair15 devs · median $23k · 21 announced
  4. + TrainsFair27 devs · median $21k · 25 announced
  5. + FMVFair11 devs · median $14k · 13 announced
  6. + GothicFair25 devs · median $5.4k · 32 announced
  7. + MarsFair12 devs · median $2.2k · 15 announced
  8. + TanksFair9 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  9. + DiplomacyPoor odds13 devs · median $1.8M · 38 announced
  10. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds8 devs · median $767k · 11 announced
  11. + Co-op CampaignPoor odds17 devs · median $267k · 65 announced
  12. + MusicPoor odds10 devs · median $148k · 25 announced

All 240 pairs on the Open World page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
I Am Jesus Christ $19.99 1,486 87% 45k $891k (exactly $891,154) Space Boat Studios
Muslim 3D · EA older $44.99 20 90% 600 $27k (exactly $26,994) Bigitec Studio
Besmirch · EA $9.99 79 97% 2.4k $24k (exactly $23,676) Gangru Games
The You Testament: The 2D Coming older $2.99 103 90% 3.1k $9.2k (exactly $9,239) MDickie
Journey of Resurgence · EA $17.99 11 81% 330 $5.9k (exactly $5,937) Stellar Realms Network
Nyanco Card older $3.99 37 75% 1.1k $4.4k (exactly $4,429) Nyanco Channel
Welcome to PINEHILLS older $4.99 21 38% 630 $3.1k (exactly $3,144) SPLR Studio
Ilum older $9.99 10 90% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) M506 Tec
Mindfulness Simulator - ASMR Meditation Game older $6.99 10 100% 300 $2.1k (exactly $2,097) ASMR Game Labs
Doctrine: C.U.L.T. $4.99 13 69% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) Miracles on a Stick
LANDED $5.99 4 100% 120 $719 (exactly $719) Delighted Games LLC
Vribyss Refuge™ Metamorphosis $1.99 12 100% 360 $716 (exactly $716) Ernesto Aragon
Skye's Repose · EA $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Jimlad
The Lost Sheep $4.99 4 75% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Joan Sabé Martínez
1711 Ireland: A Witch's Fate $4.99 4 75% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Brian Coyle, Victoria McCollum, Sabrina… (Brian Coyle, Victoria McCollum, Sabrina Minter, Andrew Sneddon)
David: Rise of the Shepherd $7.99 1 0% 30 $240 (exactly $240) PrayerPathGames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.