Games › Open World › Open World + 3D Fighter
Should I ship a 3D Fighter Open World game?
Open World + 3D Fighter
Of 41 developers who shipped a 3D Fighter Open World game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 62 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $300, ×0.2 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50. 62 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper, while revenue is down 80% on the market.
| Bottom 30% | $30 (exactly $30) |
|---|---|
| Median | $298 (exactly $298) |
| Top 25% | $12k (exactly $11,988) |
| Top 5% | $1.4M (exactly $1,376,770) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 41 |
| Released games | 118 |
| Announced | 62 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Open World
- effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
- 3D Fighter
- effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- Open World, 3D Fighter; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Action-Adventure
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person, Anime
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 83% positive over 57,218 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 20 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 62 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Open World with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + WuxiaFair
- + 4 Player LocalFair
- + VampiresFair
- + TrainsFair
- + FMVFair
- + GothicFair
- + MarsFair
- + TanksFair
- + FaithLong shot
- + DiplomacyPoor odds
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + Co-op CampaignPoor odds
Comparable games
DRAGON BALL: Sparking! ZERO 2024 · $76M 
NARUTO X BORUTO Ultimate Ninja STORM CONNECTIONS 2023 · $7.0M 
NARUTO SHIPPUDEN: Ultimate Ninja STORM 3 Full Burst HD 2013 · $6.4M 
MY HERO ONE'S JUSTICE 2 2020 · $5.7M 
Jujutsu Kaisen Cursed Clash 2024 · $5.5M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | DRAGON BALL: Sparking! ZERO | $49.99 | 50,395 86% | 1.5M | $76M (exactly $75,577,382) | Spike Chunsoft Co., Ltd. | |
| | NARUTO X BORUTO Ultimate Ninja STORM CONNECTIONS | older | $59.99 | 3,881 62% | 116k | $7.0M (exactly $6,984,636) | CyberConnect2 Co., Ltd. |
| | NARUTO SHIPPUDEN: Ultimate Ninja STORM 3 Full Burst HD | older | $19.99 | 10,749 89% | 322k | $6.4M (exactly $6,446,175) | CyberConnect2 Co. Ltd. |
| | MY HERO ONE'S JUSTICE 2 | older | $59.99 | 3,152 88% | 95k | $5.7M (exactly $5,672,654) | BYKING |
| | Jujutsu Kaisen Cursed Clash | older | $59.99 | 3,051 60% | 92k | $5.5M (exactly $5,490,885) | Byking Inc. |
 | NARUTO: Ultimate Ninja STORM | older | $19.99 | 5,986 76% | 180k | $3.6M (exactly $3,589,804) | CyberConnect2 Co. Ltd. |
 | ONE PUNCH MAN: A HERO NOBODY KNOWS | older | $59.99 | 1,692 53% | 51k | $3.0M (exactly $3,045,092) | Spike Chunsoft Co. Ltd. |
 | Samson | $24.99 | 2,911 54% | 87k | $2.2M (exactly $2,182,377) | Liquid Swords | |
 | NARUTO SHIPPUDEN: Ultimate Ninja STORM 2 | older | $19.99 | 3,457 88% | 104k | $2.1M (exactly $2,073,163) | CyberConnect2 Co. Ltd. |
 | MY HERO ACADEMIA: All’s Justice | $59.99 | 765 63% | 23k | $1.4M (exactly $1,376,770) | Byking Inc. | |
 | Virtua Fighter 5 R.E.V.O. World Stage | $19.99 | 1,897 71% | 57k | $1.1M (exactly $1,137,631) | RGG Studio | |
 | Stickman Strikes: Conquer Fantasy World | $11.99 | 642 78% | 19k | $231k (exactly $230,927) | LGaoGame | |
 | Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutants Unleashed | $39.99 | 114 50% | 3.4k | $137k (exactly $136,766) | AHEARTFULOFGAMES | |
 | Kromlech | · EA | $29.99 | 136 65% | 4.1k | $122k (exactly $122,359) | Perun Creative |
 | Cultivation Magic World | · EA | $12.99 | 276 78% | 8.3k | $108k (exactly $107,557) | DMG Studio |
 | Vienkiemis | · EA | $12.99 | 44 100% | 1.3k | $17k (exactly $17,147) | dssob, SMEIVIS |
 | Wild Alone | $10.99 | 38 47% | 1.1k | $13k (exactly $12,529) | Wild Alone 21 |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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