Do I ship it?

Games › Mechanics › Skateboarding

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Skateboarding game?

Skateboarding

Of 54 developers who shipped a Skateboarding game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 92 more are announced, ×3.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.8k, ×7.6 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $2.3M, ×3711 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 92 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 7.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 92 announced, ×3.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Skateboarding
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 54
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.8k → $24k → $41k → $9.4k → $8.2k → $18k → $2.9k (still earning) → $629 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Skateboarding: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 54
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $4.8k (exactly $4,794)
Top 25% $37k (exactly $36,863)
Top 5% $2.3M (exactly $2,330,534)
Developers, 2 yr 54
Released games 141
Announced 92
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Skateboarding
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Skateboarding
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 17,328 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $4.8k, 1 in 4 over $36k, 1 in 20 over $2.3M.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 6 in 10 of the 34 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 92 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Skateboarding

15 pairs with a mechanicwith: mechanics · settings · any
  1. Character Customization + Skateboarding Poor odds $9.4k 14 devs
  2. Skateboarding + 3D Platformer Poor odds $8.6k 13 devs
  3. Skateboarding + Sports Poor odds $8.2k 24 devs
  4. Skateboarding + Exploration Poor odds $8.2k 15 devs
  5. Skateboarding + Simulation Poor odds $8.1k 20 devs
  6. Skateboarding + Action Poor odds $6.7k 30 devs
  7. Skateboarding + Physics Poor odds $6.7k 19 devs
  8. Skateboarding + Adventure Poor odds $4.8k 19 devs
  9. Skateboarding + Platformer Poor odds $4.8k 14 devs
  10. Parkour + Skateboarding Poor odds $4.8k 11 devs
  11. Open World + Skateboarding Poor odds $2.9k 9 devs
  12. Skateboarding + Arcade Poor odds $719 24 devs
  13. Action-Adventure + Skateboarding Dead $6.7k 11 devs
  14. Sandbox + Skateboarding Dead $5.1k 9 devs
  15. Racing + Skateboarding Dead $300 11 devs
Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Riders Republic 2023 · $37M Skater XL - The Ultimate Skateboarding Game 2020 · $22M Session: Skate Sim 2022 · $16M Tony Hawk's™ Pro Skater™ 1 + 2 2023 · $5.4M BMX Streets 2024 · $3.3M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Riders Republic older $39.99 30,458 81% 914k $37M (exactly $36,540,463) Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubiso… (Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubisoft Kyiv, Ubisoft Pune, Ubisoft Odesa)
Skater XL - The Ultimate Skateboarding Game older $39.99 18,400 86% 552k $22M (exactly $22,074,480) Easy Day Studios Pty Ltd
Session: Skate Sim older $39.99 13,460 83% 404k $16M (exactly $16,147,962) crea-ture Studios Inc.
Tony Hawk's™ Pro Skater™ 1 + 2 older $39.99 4,497 90% 135k $5.4M (exactly $5,395,051) Vicarious Visions, Iron Galaxy Studios
BMX Streets older $24.99 4,366 80% 131k $3.3M (exactly $3,273,190) Mash Games
High On Life 2 $39.99 2,200 71% 66k $2.6M (exactly $2,639,340) Squanch Games, Inc.
ScooterFlow $19.99 3,975 95% 119k $2.4M (exactly $2,383,808) UncannyKiwi Limited
Tony Hawk's™ Pro Skater™ 3 + 4 $49.99 1,554 68% 47k $2.3M (exactly $2,330,534) Iron Galaxy Studios
Skate Story $19.99 2,733 96% 82k $1.6M (exactly $1,638,980) by Sam Eng
Sword of the Sea $29.99 1,638 89% 49k $1.5M (exactly $1,473,709) Giant Squid
STORROR Parkour Pro · EA $24.99 1,605 71% 48k $1.2M (exactly $1,203,268) Hole in the Sleeve Game Studios
Slackers - Carts of Glory $12.99 1,984 91% 60k $773k (exactly $773,165) Falling Saints
Driftwood $19.99 1,197 92% 36k $718k (exactly $717,841) Stoked Sloth Interactive
Helskate $24.99 301 65% 9.0k $226k (exactly $225,660) Phantom Coast
Star Overdrive $34.99 141 87% 4.2k $148k (exactly $148,008) Caracal Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.