Do I ship it?

GamesSkateboardingSkateboarding + Action

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Action Skateboarding game?

Skateboarding + Action

Of 30 developers who shipped an Action Skateboarding game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 56 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $6.7k, ×11 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $2.3M, ×3796 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 56 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 10.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 56 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Skateboarding + Action
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 30
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.8k → $24k → $25k → $16k → $599 → $2.9k (still earning) → $719 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Skateboarding + Action: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 30
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $6.7k (exactly $6,746)
Top 25% $62k (exactly $61,826)
Top 5% $2.4M (exactly $2,383,808)
Developers, 2 yr 30
Released games 88
Announced 56
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Skateboarding
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Action
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Skateboarding, Action; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, 3D Platformer, Action-Adventure
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $34.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $34.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 11,597 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $6.7k, 1 in 4 over $61k, 1 in 20 over $2.3M.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 6 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 56 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Skateboarding with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Character CustomizationPoor odds14 devs · median $9.4k · 21 announced
  2. + 3D PlatformerPoor odds13 devs · median $8.6k · 19 announced
  3. + SportsPoor odds24 devs · median $8.2k · 39 announced
  4. + ExplorationPoor odds15 devs · median $8.2k · 28 announced
  5. + SimulationPoor odds20 devs · median $8.1k · 18 announced
  6. + PhysicsPoor odds19 devs · median $6.7k · 40 announced
  7. + AdventurePoor odds19 devs · median $4.8k · 28 announced
  8. + PlatformerPoor odds14 devs · median $4.8k · 23 announced
  9. + ParkourPoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 20 announced
  10. + Open WorldPoor odds9 devs · median $2.9k · 14 announced
  11. + ArcadePoor odds24 devs · median $719 · 40 announced
  12. + Action-AdventureDead11 devs · median $6.7k · 22 announced

All 14 pairs on the Skateboarding page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Riders Republic older $39.99 30,458 81% 914k $37M (exactly $36,540,463) Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubiso… (Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubisoft Kyiv, Ubisoft Pune, Ubisoft Odesa)
Skater XL - The Ultimate Skateboarding Game older $39.99 18,400 86% 552k $22M (exactly $22,074,480) Easy Day Studios Pty Ltd
Session: Skate Sim older $39.99 13,460 83% 404k $16M (exactly $16,147,962) crea-ture Studios Inc.
High On Life 2 $39.99 2,200 71% 66k $2.6M (exactly $2,639,340) Squanch Games, Inc.
ScooterFlow $19.99 3,975 95% 119k $2.4M (exactly $2,383,808) UncannyKiwi Limited
Skate Story $19.99 2,733 96% 82k $1.6M (exactly $1,638,980) by Sam Eng
STORROR Parkour Pro · EA $24.99 1,605 71% 48k $1.2M (exactly $1,203,268) Hole in the Sleeve Game Studios
Pogostuck: Rage With Your Friends older $6.99 5,586 85% 168k $1.2M (exactly $1,171,384) Superku
Gori: Cuddly Carnage older $21.99 1,434 96% 43k $946k (exactly $946,010) Angry Demon Studio
OlliOlli World older $19.99 898 93% 27k $539k (exactly $538,531) Roll7
Helskate $24.99 301 65% 9.0k $226k (exactly $225,660) Phantom Coast
Star Overdrive $34.99 141 87% 4.2k $148k (exactly $148,008) Caracal Games
Graffism VR - Graffiti Simulator · EA $24.99 98 86% 2.9k $73k (exactly $73,471) VRiteLabs
Toree Saturn $4.99 413 93% 12k $62k (exactly $61,826) Siactro
Virtual Skate · EA $19.99 96 98% 2.9k $58k (exactly $57,571) Flip Axis Studios
Seafrog $14.99 35 100% 1.1k $16k (exactly $15,740) OhMyMe Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.