Do I ship it?

GamesSkateboardingSkateboarding + Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Platformer Skateboarding game?

Skateboarding + Platformer

Only 14 developers shipped a Platformer Skateboarding game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Toree Saturn, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced, ×4.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.8k, ×7.6 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $61k, ×98 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 23 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 7.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 23 announced, ×4.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Skateboarding + Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.4k → $9.4k → $8.6k → $4.6k
Outcomes for Skateboarding + Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $4.8k (exactly $4,794)
Top 25% $8.6k (exactly $8,598)
Top 5% $62k (exactly $61,826)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 37
Announced 23
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 45% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Skateboarding
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Skateboarding, Platformer
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 636 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $4.8k, 1 in 4 over $8.5k, 1 in 20 over $61k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 9 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 23 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Skateboarding with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Character CustomizationPoor odds14 devs · median $9.4k · 21 announced
  2. + 3D PlatformerPoor odds13 devs · median $8.6k · 19 announced
  3. + SportsPoor odds24 devs · median $8.2k · 39 announced
  4. + ExplorationPoor odds15 devs · median $8.2k · 28 announced
  5. + SimulationPoor odds20 devs · median $8.1k · 18 announced
  6. + ActionPoor odds30 devs · median $6.7k · 56 announced
  7. + PhysicsPoor odds19 devs · median $6.7k · 40 announced
  8. + AdventurePoor odds19 devs · median $4.8k · 28 announced
  9. + ParkourPoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 20 announced
  10. + Open WorldPoor odds9 devs · median $2.9k · 14 announced
  11. + ArcadePoor odds24 devs · median $719 · 40 announced
  12. + Action-AdventureDead11 devs · median $6.7k · 22 announced

All 14 pairs on the Skateboarding page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Pogostuck: Rage With Your Friends older $6.99 5,586 85% 168k $1.2M (exactly $1,171,384) Superku
OlliOlli World older $19.99 898 93% 27k $539k (exactly $538,531) Roll7
OlliOlli2: Welcome to Olliwood older $14.99 431 86% 13k $194k (exactly $193,821) Roll7
OlliOlli older $12.99 422 80% 13k $164k (exactly $164,453) Roll7, General Arcade
Toree Saturn $4.99 413 93% 12k $62k (exactly $61,826) Siactro
STREET UNi X older $19.99 78 96% 2.3k $47k (exactly $46,777) daffodil & friends
Skator Gator 3D older $4.99 176 96% 5.3k $26k (exactly $26,347) Weathered Sweater
Hannah’s Day older $12.99 63 88% 1.9k $25k (exactly $24,551) Watt Studio
RoboSkate older $6.99 82 89% 2.5k $17k (exactly $17,195) Matas Sakalauskas
Seafrog $14.99 35 100% 1.1k $16k (exactly $15,740) OhMyMe Games
Ollie-Oop $12.99 24 91% 720 $9.4k (exactly $9,353) Almost Playable Games
Mop Skater $6.99 41 78% 1.2k $8.6k (exactly $8,598) youpiepoopie
cheapskate · EA $4.99 55 98% 1.7k $8.2k (exactly $8,234) Simple Dev Studio
hoptix $7.99 23 100% 690 $5.5k (exactly $5,513) Cat Burglar Games
Sonki's Lagoon · EA $7.99 20 95% 600 $4.8k (exactly $4,794) CocoDev
good $7.99 19 100% 570 $4.6k (exactly $4,554) zzox
Yo Skater $6.99 3 100% 90 $629 (exactly $629) Sebaski Studios
Backflip Madness 2 $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Hubert Śliwka

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.