Do I ship it?

GamesRacingRacing + Skateboarding

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Skateboarding Racing game?

Racing + Skateboarding

Only 11 developers shipped a Skateboarding Racing game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, STORROR Parkour Pro, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced, ×6.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $300 against a market of $630. 24 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 50% on the market, 24 announced, ×6.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Racing + Skateboarding
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.2k → $60 → $300
Outcomes for Racing + Skateboarding: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $300 (exactly $300)
Top 25% $718k (exactly $717,841)
Top 5% $1.2M (exactly $1,203,268)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 37
Announced 24
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 50% on the market, supply 45% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Racing
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle handling, track content and opponent AI
Skateboarding
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Racing, Skateboarding
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 85% positive over 4,806 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $300, 1 in 4 over $710k, 1 in 20 over $1.2M.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 7 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Racing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + CapitalismStrong odds14 devs · median $8.6k · 7 announced
  2. + ModernFair32 devs · median $3.3k · 34 announced
  3. + TransportationFair39 devs · median $2.3k · 35 announced
  4. + AutomationFair11 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  5. + Grand StrategyFair8 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  6. + Time AttackFair44 devs · median $748 · 42 announced
  7. + Auto BattlerFair11 devs · median $657 · 10 announced
  8. + Time ManipulationFair10 devs · median $599 · 12 announced
  9. + IdlerFair19 devs · median $505 · 13 announced
  10. + Choices MatterFair51 devs · median $449 · 54 announced
  11. + City BuilderLong shot12 devs · median $299 · 9 announced
  12. + Inventory ManagementPoor odds14 devs · median $34k · 37 announced

All 165 pairs on the Racing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Riders Republic older $39.99 30,458 81% 914k $37M (exactly $36,540,463) Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubiso… (Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubisoft Kyiv, Ubisoft Pune, Ubisoft Odesa)
STORROR Parkour Pro · EA $24.99 1,605 71% 48k $1.2M (exactly $1,203,268) Hole in the Sleeve Game Studios
Slackers - Carts of Glory $12.99 1,984 91% 60k $773k (exactly $773,165) Falling Saints
Driftwood $19.99 1,197 92% 36k $718k (exactly $717,841) Stoked Sloth Interactive
SkateBIRD older $19.99 637 85% 19k $382k (exactly $382,009) Glass Bottom Games
Tanuki Sunset older $14.99 451 93% 14k $203k (exactly $202,815) Rewind Games
REKT! High Octane Stunts older $5.99 117 94% 3.5k $21k (exactly $21,025) Little Chicken Game Company
Rocket Skates VR older $9.99 53 81% 1.6k $16k (exactly $15,884) EpiXR Games UG
hoVRboard older $11.99 33 93% 990 $12k (exactly $11,870) TomyHorst
Urban Trial Tricky™ Deluxe Edition older $19.99 16 56% 480 $9.6k (exactly $9,595) Tate Multimedia
Cow $4.99 13 100% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) ZDEsy
Gob Johnson's Downhill Marmalade $5.99 2 100% 60 $359 (exactly $359) tophatsquid games
Codename Medusa · EA $9.99 1 0% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Serramonaca Capital Ventures
BIG BALLS · EA $3.99 2 100% 60 $239 (exactly $239) BIG BALL
Kitesurf Runner $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Dumpster Buddha Games
Slide Faster $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) Puzzle Drop Studio
Bruxa $4.20 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) xinela

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.