Do I ship it?

GamesCharacter CustomizationCharacter Customization + Skateboarding

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Character Customization Skateboarding game?

Character Customization + Skateboarding

Only 14 developers shipped a Character Customization Skateboarding game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, ScooterFlow, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced, ×4.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $9.4k, ×15 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $5.1k; 1 in 20 cleared $2.3M, ×3796 the market median. Revenue is down 50% on the market; 21 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 14.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 21 announced, ×4.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Character Customization + Skateboarding
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $73k → $8.6k → $58k
Outcomes for Character Customization + Skateboarding: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $5.1k (exactly $5,100)
Median $9.4k (exactly $9,353)
Top 25% $718k (exactly $717,841)
Top 5% $2.4M (exactly $2,383,808)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 36
Announced 21
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 45% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Character Customization
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Skateboarding
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Character Customization, Skateboarding
Price point
$14.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 8,583 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $5.1k, median $9.4k, 1 in 4 over $710k, 1 in 20 over $2.3M.

3 in 10 developers made under $5.1k. 6 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 21 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Character Customization with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Football (American)Strong odds14 devs · median $3.6k · 12 announced
  2. + Real-TimeStrong odds7 devs · median $2.0k · 6 announced
  3. + Music-Based Procedural GenerationFair10 devs · median $18k · 8 announced
  4. + TransportationFair19 devs · median $7.2k · 24 announced
  5. + MinigamesFair27 devs · median $5.7k · 34 announced
  6. + DwarvesFair7 devs · median $3.2k · 13 announced
  7. + BikesFair11 devs · median $1.5k · 10 announced
  8. + IdlerFair210 devs · median $1.2k · 286 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair146 devs · median $1.2k · 190 announced
  10. + GamblingFair30 devs · median $836 · 32 announced
  11. + Precision PlatformerFair103 devs · median $748 · 116 announced
  12. + TypingFair27 devs · median $539 · 38 announced

All 250 pairs on the Character Customization page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Skater XL - The Ultimate Skateboarding Game older $39.99 18,400 86% 552k $22M (exactly $22,074,480) Easy Day Studios Pty Ltd
Session: Skate Sim older $39.99 13,460 83% 404k $16M (exactly $16,147,962) crea-ture Studios Inc.
Tony Hawk's™ Pro Skater™ 1 + 2 older $39.99 4,497 90% 135k $5.4M (exactly $5,395,051) Vicarious Visions, Iron Galaxy Studios
ScooterFlow $19.99 3,975 95% 119k $2.4M (exactly $2,383,808) UncannyKiwi Limited
Tony Hawk's™ Pro Skater™ 3 + 4 $49.99 1,554 68% 47k $2.3M (exactly $2,330,534) Iron Galaxy Studios
STORROR Parkour Pro · EA $24.99 1,605 71% 48k $1.2M (exactly $1,203,268) Hole in the Sleeve Game Studios
Gori: Cuddly Carnage older $21.99 1,434 96% 43k $946k (exactly $946,010) Angry Demon Studio
Driftwood $19.99 1,197 92% 36k $718k (exactly $717,841) Stoked Sloth Interactive
OlliOlli World older $19.99 898 93% 27k $539k (exactly $538,531) Roll7
SkateBIRD older $19.99 637 85% 19k $382k (exactly $382,009) Glass Bottom Games
Virtual Skate · EA $19.99 96 98% 2.9k $58k (exactly $57,571) Flip Axis Studios
Punk Juice $14.99 39 100% 1.2k $18k (exactly $17,538) LEMON BOY
Ollie-Oop $12.99 24 91% 720 $9.4k (exactly $9,353) Almost Playable Games
Mop Skater $6.99 41 78% 1.2k $8.6k (exactly $8,598) youpiepoopie
Skatesterre $14.99 18 55% 540 $8.1k (exactly $8,095) Goon Squad
Jumbo Scooter $5.00 34 85% 1.0k $5.1k (exactly $5,100) BepeDev

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.