Games › Open World › Open World + Skateboarding
Should I ship a Skateboarding Open World game?
Open World + Skateboarding
Only 9 developers shipped a Skateboarding Open World game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, STORROR Parkour Pro, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.9k, ×1.9 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $1.2M, ×803 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 14 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $300 (exactly $300) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.9k (exactly $2,873) |
| Top 25% | $6.7k (exactly $6,746) |
| Top 5% | $1.2M (exactly $1,203,268) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 9 |
| Released games | 26 |
| Announced | 14 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Open World
- effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
- Skateboarding
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- Open World, Skateboarding
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.
The top 10 games average 83% positive over 60,686 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 14 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Open World with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + WuxiaFair
- + 4 Player LocalFair
- + VampiresFair
- + TrainsFair
- + FMVFair
- + GothicFair
- + MarsFair
- + TanksFair
- + FaithLong shot
- + DiplomacyPoor odds
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + Co-op CampaignPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Riders Republic | older | $39.99 | 30,458 81% | 914k | $37M (exactly $36,540,463) | Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubiso… (Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubisoft Kyiv, Ubisoft Pune, Ubisoft Odesa) |
| | Skater XL - The Ultimate Skateboarding Game | older | $39.99 | 18,400 86% | 552k | $22M (exactly $22,074,480) | Easy Day Studios Pty Ltd |
| | Tony Hawk's™ Pro Skater™ 1 + 2 | older | $39.99 | 4,497 90% | 135k | $5.4M (exactly $5,395,051) | Vicarious Visions, Iron Galaxy Studios |
| | BMX Streets | older | $24.99 | 4,366 80% | 131k | $3.3M (exactly $3,273,190) | Mash Games |
| | STORROR Parkour Pro | · EA | $24.99 | 1,605 71% | 48k | $1.2M (exactly $1,203,268) | Hole in the Sleeve Game Studios |
| | SkateBIRD | older | $19.99 | 637 85% | 19k | $382k (exactly $382,009) | Glass Bottom Games |
| | BMX The Game | · EA older | $24.99 | 448 60% | 13k | $336k (exactly $335,866) | Barspin Studios |
| | Star Overdrive | $34.99 | 141 87% | 4.2k | $148k (exactly $148,008) | Caracal Games | |
| | TRUE SKATE™ | · EA older | $19.99 | 67 56% | 2.0k | $40k (exactly $40,180) | True Axis Pty Ltd |
| | Skate Rift | older | $5.99 | 67 94% | 2.0k | $12k (exactly $12,040) | Mt.Zero Software |
| | Bambas! | $14.99 | 15 86% | 450 | $6.7k (exactly $6,746) | DevilishGames | |
| | Sonki's Lagoon | · EA | $7.99 | 20 95% | 600 | $4.8k (exactly $4,794) | CocoDev |
| | Newbie: Become a Skateboarder | · EA | $3.99 | 24 66% | 720 | $2.9k (exactly $2,873) | Haahuile Entertainment |
| | Bike Park Simulator: BMX, Dirt Jump & MTB | · EA | $7.99 | 2 0% | 60 | $479 (exactly $479) | Hard Shark Games |
| | Codename Medusa | · EA | $9.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | Serramonaca Capital Ventures |
| | Second Dreamer | $9.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | echomune | |
| | Caddywack | $11.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Tanssem Studio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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