Do I ship it?

Games › Mechanics › Automobile Sim

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Automobile Sim?

Automobile Sim

Of 453 developers who shipped an Automobile Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 683 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×1.2 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $2.1M, ×1437 the market median. Revenue is up 80% on the market; 683 games are announced against 256 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 80% on the market, 683 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Automobile Sim
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 453
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.4k → $2.1k → $1.7k → $2.4k → $1.5k → $1.9k → $1.4k (still earning) → $987 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Automobile Sim: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 453
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $1.8k (exactly $1,796)
Top 25% $20k (exactly $20,242)
Top 5% $2.2M (exactly $2,152,323)
Developers, 2 yr 453
Released games 1,581
Announced 683
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 80% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Automobile Sim
effort 7 / 10 · low · tyre, suspension and drivetrain simulation

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Automobile Sim
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 529,968 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.8k, 1 in 4 over $20k, 1 in 20 over $2.1M.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 239 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 683 games are announced against 256 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Automobile Sim

15 pairs with a settingwith: mechanics · settings · any
  1. Automobile Sim + Artificial Intelligence Fair $3.0k 19 devs
  2. Automobile Sim + Zombies Fair $2.1k 10 devs
  3. Automobile Sim + Trains Poor odds $17k 20 devs
  4. Automobile Sim + Modern Poor odds $11k 27 devs
  5. Automobile Sim + Crime Poor odds $6.6k 16 devs
  6. Automobile Sim + Post-apocalyptic Poor odds $4.0k 17 devs
  7. Automobile Sim + Psychological Horror Poor odds $3.8k 7 devs
  8. Automobile Sim + Nature Poor odds $2.9k 25 devs
  9. Automobile Sim + Capitalism Poor odds $2.3k 17 devs
  10. Automobile Sim + Sci-fi Poor odds $1.4k 19 devs
  11. Automobile Sim + Futuristic Poor odds $898 19 devs
  12. Automobile Sim + Space Poor odds $629 8 devs
  13. Automobile Sim + Horror Dead $4.0k 10 devs
  14. Automobile Sim + Cyberpunk Dead $2.4k 9 devs
  15. Automobile Sim + Female Protagonist Dead $1.4k 9 devs
Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Forza Horizon 5 2021 · $468M Euro Truck Simulator 2 2012 · $454M BeamNG.drive 2015 · EA · $291M Grand Theft Auto V Enhanced 2025 · $190M Forza Horizon 6 2026 · $182M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Forza Horizon 5 older $59.99 260,218 89% 7.8M $468M (exactly $468,314,335) Playground Games
Euro Truck Simulator 2 older $19.99 756,984 97% 23M $454M (exactly $453,963,305) SCS Software
BeamNG.drive · EA older $24.99 388,236 97% 12M $291M (exactly $291,060,529) BeamNG
Grand Theft Auto V Enhanced $29.99 210,784 83% 6.3M $190M (exactly $189,642,365) Rockstar North
Forza Horizon 6 $69.99 86,730 82% 2.6M $182M (exactly $182,106,981) Playground Games
Grand Theft Auto IV: The Complete Edition older $19.99 180,637 83% 5.4M $108M (exactly $108,328,009) Rockstar North, Rockstar Toronto
American Truck Simulator older $19.99 165,692 97% 5.0M $99M (exactly $99,365,492) SCS Software
Assetto Corsa older $19.99 136,067 92% 4.1M $82M (exactly $81,599,380) Kunos Simulazioni
The Crew™ 2 older $29.99 86,533 78% 2.6M $78M (exactly $77,853,740) Ivory Tower
The Crew Motorfest older $69.99 24,230 78% 727k $51M (exactly $50,875,731) Ubisoft Ivory Tower
My Summer Car $14.99 108,503 94% 3.3M $49M (exactly $48,793,799) Amistech Games
F1® 25 $49.99 25,395 87% 762k $38M (exactly $38,084,882) Codemasters
Tokyo Xtreme Racer $49.99 15,284 93% 459k $23M (exactly $22,921,415) Genki Co., Ltd.
Assetto Corsa EVO · EA $39.99 16,545 60% 496k $20M (exactly $19,849,036) KUNOS Simulazioni
Le Mans Ultimate $39.99 15,068 79% 452k $18M (exactly $18,077,080) Studio 397
RoadCraft $39.99 13,527 74% 406k $16M (exactly $16,228,342) Saber Interactive
Drive Beyond Horizons · EA $24.99 17,903 77% 537k $13M (exactly $13,421,879) Drive Beyond Horizons
Car For Sale Simulator $16.99 20,229 78% 607k $10M (exactly $10,310,721) Red Axe Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.