Do I ship it?

GamesAutomobile SimAutomobile Sim + Space

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Space Automobile Sim?

Automobile Sim + Space

Only 8 developers shipped a Space Automobile Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Exo Rally Championship, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $630, ×0.4 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180. 21 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper, while momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 21 announced, ×3.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Automobile Sim + Space
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $839 → $150 → $899
Outcomes for Automobile Sim + Space: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $180 (exactly $180)
Median $629 (exactly $629)
Top 25% $2.1k (exactly $2,098)
Top 5% $280k (exactly $280,388)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 28
Announced 21
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 200% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Automobile Sim
effort 7 / 10 · low · tyre, suspension and drivetrain simulation
Space
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Automobile Sim
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 11,520 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $630, 1 in 4 over $2.0k, 1 in 20 over $280k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 21 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Automobile Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Split ScreenStrong odds25 devs · median $5.5k · 14 announced
  2. + Artificial IntelligenceFair19 devs · median $3.0k · 17 announced
  3. + ZombiesFair10 devs · median $2.1k · 8 announced
  4. + IdlerFair9 devs · median $1.6k · 14 announced
  5. + LogicFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  6. + Multiple EndingsLong shot14 devs · median $1.0k · 12 announced
  7. + Score AttackLong shot38 devs · median $898 · 35 announced
  8. + ArcadeLong shot162 devs · median $774 · 180 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds46 devs · median $70k · 60 announced
  10. + Online Co-OpPoor odds40 devs · median $70k · 54 announced
  11. + AutomationPoor odds13 devs · median $35k · 19 announced
  12. + BuildingPoor odds44 devs · median $24k · 89 announced

All 92 pairs on the Automobile Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Star Trucker older $24.99 4,928 77% 148k $3.7M (exactly $3,694,522) Monster and Monster
Redout: Enhanced Edition older $19.99 3,438 84% 103k $2.1M (exactly $2,061,769) 34BigThings srl
Redout 2 older $19.99 1,168 82% 35k $700k (exactly $700,450) 34BigThings srl
Homebrew - Patent Unknown · EA older $14.99 828 71% 25k $372k (exactly $372,352) Copybugpaste
Exo Rally Championship $24.99 374 90% 11k $280k (exactly $280,388) Exbleative
Vector 36 older $24.99 241 80% 7.2k $181k (exactly $180,678) Red River Studio
Deep Space Battle Simulator older $9.99 358 78% 11k $107k (exactly $107,293) yeswecamp
PowerWash Adventure VR older $6.99 90 74% 2.7k $19k (exactly $18,873) Grass Digital Technology
Mars Rover Simulator older $19.99 24 25% 720 $14k (exactly $14,393) DexterCoding
Space Ribbon - Slipstream to the Extreme older $3.99 71 57% 2.1k $8.5k (exactly $8,499) Onteca Ltd
Bridge Orders - Outrim: The Unseen Enemy · EA $9.99 7 71% 210 $2.1k (exactly $2,098) POISOFT
Off World Racing · EA $14.99 2 50% 60 $899 (exactly $899) Off World Racing Company
Car Football $6.99 3 66% 90 $629 (exactly $629) Vutune
Lawnmower game Ufo Chase 2 $1.99 10 80% 300 $597 (exactly $597) Valkeala Software
Poland Car Simulator $5.99 1 0% 30 $180 (exactly $180) FilaosX Games
Vagnerun $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Vagner da Rocha Santos
A Bad Space Game $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) tobi02b

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.