Do I ship it?

GamesAutomobile SimAutomobile Sim + Zombies

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Zombie Automobile Sim?

Automobile Sim + Zombies

Only 10 developers shipped a Zombie Automobile Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Nightmare Drive, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 8 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.1k, ×1.4 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $1.5k. Revenue is up 125% on the market; 8 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 125% on the market, 8 announced, ×1.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Automobile Sim + Zombies
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Automobile Sim + Zombies: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $1.5k (exactly $1,468)
Median $2.1k (exactly $2,096)
Top 25% $3.4k (exactly $3,443)
Top 5% $70k (exactly $70,153)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 27
Announced 8
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 125% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Automobile Sim
effort 7 / 10 · low · tyre, suspension and drivetrain simulation
Zombies
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Automobile Sim
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 251 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.5k, median $2.1k, 1 in 4 over $3.4k, 1 in 20 over $70k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.5k. 8 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Automobile Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Split ScreenStrong odds25 devs · median $5.5k · 14 announced
  2. + Artificial IntelligenceFair19 devs · median $3.0k · 17 announced
  3. + IdlerFair9 devs · median $1.6k · 14 announced
  4. + LogicFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  5. + Multiple EndingsLong shot14 devs · median $1.0k · 12 announced
  6. + Score AttackLong shot38 devs · median $898 · 35 announced
  7. + ArcadeLong shot162 devs · median $774 · 180 announced
  8. + Co-opPoor odds46 devs · median $70k · 60 announced
  9. + Online Co-OpPoor odds40 devs · median $70k · 54 announced
  10. + AutomationPoor odds13 devs · median $35k · 19 announced
  11. + BuildingPoor odds44 devs · median $24k · 89 announced
  12. + TrainsPoor odds20 devs · median $17k · 17 announced

All 92 pairs on the Automobile Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Brick Rigs older $19.99 53,749 95% 1.6M $32M (exactly $32,233,275) Fluppisoft GmbH
Gas Guzzlers Extreme older $24.99 3,081 86% 92k $2.3M (exactly $2,309,826) Gamepires
Drive 4 Survival · EA older $19.99 228 58% 6.8k $137k (exactly $136,732) M3M Games
Nightmare Drive · EA $14.99 156 78% 4.7k $70k (exactly $70,153) Voidfiller
Clutch older $9.99 125 79% 3.8k $37k (exactly $37,462) Targem Games
Zombie Derby older $4.99 102 85% 3.1k $15k (exactly $15,269) Brinemedia
Zombie Derby: Pixel Survival older $4.99 69 92% 2.1k $10k (exactly $10,329) Brinemedia
Into the End (of the World) · EA $14.99 9 55% 270 $4.0k (exactly $4,047) RabbiX Games
3番線 | Sanbansen older $4.99 24 87% 720 $3.6k (exactly $3,593) MFC STUDIO, KOSEI YASUDA
Zompizza : The Last Delivery $4.99 23 91% 690 $3.4k (exactly $3,443) Broken Toilet Games
TONK · EA $3.99 22 77% 660 $2.6k (exactly $2,633) YourAverageOtter
5番線おじさん救出編 Platform 5 Dungeons $4.99 14 100% 420 $2.1k (exactly $2,096) MFC STUDIO, KOSEI YASUDA, SHINISE GAMES
4番線 | Platform 4 $4.99 13 84% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) MFC STUDIO, KOSEI YASUDA
Ashes of Ambition $6.99 7 28% 210 $1.5k (exactly $1,468) HiddenGem Studio
Doomriderz $9.99 1 0% 30 $300 (exactly $300) SlicedBlue 3D
Bulletproof Tank Adventure $0.99 5 100% 150 $148 (exactly $148) HAPPYTECH
Lawnmower Game Horrorland $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.