Do I ship it?

GamesAutomobile SimAutomobile Sim + Female Protagonist

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Female-Led Automobile Sim?

Automobile Sim + Female Protagonist

Only 9 developers shipped a Female-Led Automobile Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, My Witch Wants Elixirs!, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 18 more are announced, ×6.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.4k against a market of $1.5k. 18 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 200% on the market, 18 announced, ×6.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Automobile Sim + Female Protagonist
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Automobile Sim + Female Protagonist: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $1.4k (exactly $1,436)
Top 25% $1.8k (exactly $1,799)
Top 5% $11k (exactly $10,904)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 28
Announced 18
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 200% on the market, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Automobile Sim
effort 7 / 10 · low · tyre, suspension and drivetrain simulation
Female Protagonist
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Automobile Sim
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 31,478 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $1.4k, 1 in 4 over $1.7k, 1 in 20 over $10k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 18 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Automobile Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Split ScreenStrong odds25 devs · median $5.5k · 14 announced
  2. + Artificial IntelligenceFair19 devs · median $3.0k · 17 announced
  3. + ZombiesFair10 devs · median $2.1k · 8 announced
  4. + IdlerFair9 devs · median $1.6k · 14 announced
  5. + LogicFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  6. + Multiple EndingsLong shot14 devs · median $1.0k · 12 announced
  7. + Score AttackLong shot38 devs · median $898 · 35 announced
  8. + ArcadeLong shot162 devs · median $774 · 180 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds46 devs · median $70k · 60 announced
  10. + Online Co-OpPoor odds40 devs · median $70k · 54 announced
  11. + AutomationPoor odds13 devs · median $35k · 19 announced
  12. + BuildingPoor odds44 devs · median $24k · 89 announced

All 92 pairs on the Automobile Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Police Simulator: Patrol Officers older $39.99 18,880 75% 566k $23M (exactly $22,650,336) Aesir Interactive
Construction Simulator older $24.99 10,606 82% 318k $8.0M (exactly $7,951,318) weltenbauer. Software Entwicklung GmbH
Titan Chaser older $4.99 1,000 82% 30k $150k (exactly $149,700) Stas Shostak
Roundabout older $9.99 438 93% 13k $131k (exactly $131,269) No Goblin
Tristia:legacy older $59.99 69 89% 2.1k $124k (exactly $124,179) KOGADO STUDIO
Truck Driver older $19.99 159 70% 4.8k $95k (exactly $95,352) SOEDESCO
Tokyo Warfare Turbo older $14.99 136 86% 4.1k $61k (exactly $61,159) Pablo Vidaurre Sanz
New York Bus Simulator older $9.99 99 49% 3.0k $30k (exactly $29,670) TML-Studios
Drift Stage · EA older $9.99 39 66% 1.2k $12k (exactly $11,688) Super Systems Softworks
My Witch Wants Elixirs! $6.99 52 69% 1.6k $11k (exactly $10,904) TeamDDD
Ana's Auto Fellatio $9.99 8 50% 240 $2.4k (exactly $2,398) Gloomy Washer
Venus in Furs: Sensual Pleasure $29.99 2 0% 60 $1.8k (exactly $1,799) the NineLust Studios
Hover REV Hispeed Burst $10.99 5 60% 150 $1.6k (exactly $1,648) JKK_WORKS
Stunt Granny $3.99 12 100% 360 $1.4k (exactly $1,436) teledev
中国式富豪 $6.99 4 25% 120 $839 (exactly $839) 大米粥工作室
Adrenalinkick $4.99 4 50% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Draconum
L.A.W Transporter · EA $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Butter Fly Games
Day Train $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Hinato Yumoto

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.