Do I ship it?

Games › Automobile Sim › Automobile Sim + Futuristic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Futuristic Automobile Sim?

Automobile Sim + Futuristic

Only 19 developers shipped a Futuristic Automobile Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, VRacer Hoverbike, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 43 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×0.6 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270. 43 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper, while revenue is down 65% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 65% on the market, 43 announced, ×4.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Automobile Sim + Futuristic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $719 → $6.0k → $180 → $262k → $1.6k → $898 → $3.2k (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Automobile Sim + Futuristic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $269 (exactly $269)
Median $898 (exactly $898)
Top 25% $3.2k (exactly $3,235)
Top 5% $276k (exactly $276,208)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 57
Announced 43
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Automobile Sim
effort 7 / 10 · low · tyre, suspension and drivetrain simulation
Futuristic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Automobile Sim; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Arcade, Open World
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Third Person, VR
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 74% positive over 544 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $270, median $900, 1 in 4 over $3.2k, 1 in 20 over $270k.

3 in 10 developers made under $270. 8 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 43 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Automobile Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Split ScreenStrong odds25 devs · median $5.5k · 14 announced
  2. + Artificial IntelligenceFair19 devs · median $3.0k · 17 announced
  3. + ZombiesFair10 devs · median $2.1k · 8 announced
  4. + IdlerFair9 devs · median $1.6k · 14 announced
  5. + LogicFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  6. + Multiple EndingsLong shot14 devs · median $1.0k · 12 announced
  7. + Score AttackLong shot38 devs · median $898 · 35 announced
  8. + ArcadeLong shot162 devs · median $774 · 180 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds46 devs · median $70k · 60 announced
  10. + Online Co-OpPoor odds40 devs · median $70k · 54 announced
  11. + AutomationPoor odds13 devs · median $35k · 19 announced
  12. + BuildingPoor odds44 devs · median $24k · 89 announced

All 92 pairs on the Automobile Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Star Trucker 2024 · $3.7M GRIP: Combat Racing 2018 · $3.3M Pacer 2020 · $691k BlazeRush 2014 · $309k VRacer Hoverbike 2025 · $276k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Star Trucker older $24.99 4,928 77% 148k $3.7M (exactly $3,694,522) Monster and Monster
GRIP: Combat Racing older $29.99 3,669 86% 110k $3.3M (exactly $3,300,999) Caged Element
Pacer older $39.99 576 72% 17k $691k (exactly $691,027) R8 Games Ltd
BlazeRush older $9.99 1,031 88% 31k $309k (exactly $308,991) Targem Games
VRacer Hoverbike $29.99 307 89% 9.2k $276k (exactly $276,208) VertexBreakers
ExoCross older $19.99 437 68% 13k $262k (exactly $262,069) iRacing.com Motorsport Simulations, iRa… (iRacing.com Motorsport Simulations, iRacing)
Glitchpunk $19.99 174 47% 5.2k $104k (exactly $104,348) Dark Lord
CrashMetal - Cyberpunk older $4.99 654 66% 20k $98k (exactly $97,904) JDM4iK Games
Rise: Race The Future older $15.99 106 72% 3.2k $51k (exactly $50,848) VD-dev
Turbo Sloths older $9.99 109 85% 3.3k $33k (exactly $32,667) RainStyle games
inRun $14.99 13 53% 390 $5.8k (exactly $5,846) Ivanovich Games
Open Robot $9.99 11 90% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) Loomeit Studios
Racer Overdrive $5.99 18 88% 540 $3.2k (exactly $3,235) IntActive
Hover REV Hispeed Burst $10.99 5 60% 150 $1.6k (exactly $1,648) JKK_WORKS
Scifi Racing Team $11.99 4 75% 120 $1.4k (exactly $1,439) Delicious Lines
GMH - Good Morning Human ! $9.99 4 100% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) W-9000 Studio
Off World Racing · EA $14.99 2 50% 60 $899 (exactly $899) Off World Racing Company
Velocity One $4.99 6 66% 180 $898 (exactly $898) Red Mountain Game Design

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.