Do I ship it?

GamesAutomobile SimAutomobile Sim + Cyberpunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cyberpunk Automobile Sim?

Automobile Sim + Cyberpunk

Only 9 developers shipped a Cyberpunk Automobile Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Glitchpunk, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced, ×11 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $2.4k against a market of $1.5k. 22 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.6 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 22 announced, ×11 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Automobile Sim + Cyberpunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $359 → $1.6k → $5.7k
Outcomes for Automobile Sim + Cyberpunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $148 (exactly $148)
Median $2.4k (exactly $2,352)
Top 25% $9.6k (exactly $9,598)
Top 5% $104k (exactly $104,348)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 42
Announced 22
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.90

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 70% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Automobile Sim
effort 7 / 10 · low · tyre, suspension and drivetrain simulation
Cyberpunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Automobile Sim
Price point
$4.90 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 66% positive over 17,888 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $2.4k, 1 in 4 over $9.5k, 1 in 20 over $100k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 22 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×11 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Automobile Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Split ScreenStrong odds25 devs · median $5.5k · 14 announced
  2. + Artificial IntelligenceFair19 devs · median $3.0k · 17 announced
  3. + ZombiesFair10 devs · median $2.1k · 8 announced
  4. + IdlerFair9 devs · median $1.6k · 14 announced
  5. + LogicFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  6. + Multiple EndingsLong shot14 devs · median $1.0k · 12 announced
  7. + Score AttackLong shot38 devs · median $898 · 35 announced
  8. + ArcadeLong shot162 devs · median $774 · 180 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds46 devs · median $70k · 60 announced
  10. + Online Co-OpPoor odds40 devs · median $70k · 54 announced
  11. + AutomationPoor odds13 devs · median $35k · 19 announced
  12. + BuildingPoor odds44 devs · median $24k · 89 announced

All 92 pairs on the Automobile Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
RAGE 2 older $39.99 14,019 64% 421k $17M (exactly $16,818,594) id Software, Avalanche Studios
Pacer older $39.99 576 72% 17k $691k (exactly $691,027) R8 Games Ltd
Neon Drive older $9.99 1,664 86% 50k $499k (exactly $498,701) Fraoula, Spiky Crumb
Retrowave World · EA older $9.99 398 70% 12k $119k (exactly $119,281) RewindApp
Glitchpunk $19.99 174 47% 5.2k $104k (exactly $104,348) Dark Lord
CrashMetal - Cyberpunk older $4.99 654 66% 20k $98k (exactly $97,904) JDM4iK Games
CyberTaxi older $9.99 178 64% 5.3k $53k (exactly $53,347) Projects from Basement
CyberTaxi: Lunatic Nights · EA $13.99 68 55% 2.0k $29k (exactly $28,540) Hed Media Games
NEON SPEED older $6.99 50 64% 1.5k $10k (exactly $10,485) GameLand
Synthwave Driver · EA $2.99 107 86% 3.2k $9.6k (exactly $9,598) Runebox Studios
Synthwave Dream '85 $3.99 48 100% 1.4k $5.7k (exactly $5,746) LoneDev
Miami Horizon 2077 $4.90 16 75% 480 $2.4k (exactly $2,352) CJ
Hover REV Hispeed Burst $10.99 5 60% 150 $1.6k (exactly $1,648) JKK_WORKS
Bulletproof Tank Adventure $0.99 5 100% 150 $148 (exactly $148) HAPPYTECH
Nightcrawler $0.99 3 100% 90 $89 (exactly $89) TsuraiKuromaru
Neon Highway $11.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Meridian Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.