Do I ship it?

Games › Mechanics › Asynchronous Multiplayer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Asynchronous Multiplayer game?

Asynchronous Multiplayer

Of 227 developers who shipped an Asynchronous Multiplayer game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 411 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.1 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210; 1 in 20 cleared $560k, ×898 the market median. Revenue is up 40% on the market; 411 games are announced against 147 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 40% on the market, 411 announced, ×2.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Asynchronous Multiplayer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 227
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $7.0k → $718 → $1.1k → $4.8k → $1.6k → $5.5k → $1.5k (still earning) → $419 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Asynchronous Multiplayer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 227
Bottom 30% $201 (exactly $201)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,348)
Top 25% $29k (exactly $29,385)
Top 5% $564k (exactly $563,859)
Developers, 2 yr 227
Released games 650
Announced 411
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 40% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 25%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Asynchronous Multiplayer
effort 5 / 10 · low · a backend with accounts and persistent turns

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Asynchronous Multiplayer
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $22.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $22.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 98,339 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $29k, 1 in 20 over $560k.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. 7 in 10 of the 117 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 411 games are announced against 147 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Asynchronous Multiplayer

13 pairs with a settingwith: mechanics · settings · any
  1. Asynchronous Multiplayer + Artificial Intelligence Strong odds $25k 10 devs
  2. Asynchronous Multiplayer + War Fair $6.0k 14 devs
  3. Asynchronous Multiplayer + Space Long shot $299 15 devs
  4. Asynchronous Multiplayer + Medieval Poor odds $53k 13 devs
  5. Asynchronous Multiplayer + Nature Poor odds $37k 10 devs
  6. Asynchronous Multiplayer + Dark Fantasy Poor odds $10k 10 devs
  7. Asynchronous Multiplayer + Historical Poor odds $6.0k 10 devs
  8. Asynchronous Multiplayer + Fantasy Poor odds $2.3k 50 devs
  9. Asynchronous Multiplayer + Female Protagonist Poor odds $1.3k 10 devs
  10. Asynchronous Multiplayer + Horror Poor odds $1.3k 9 devs
  11. Asynchronous Multiplayer + Magic Poor odds $1.2k 11 devs
  12. Asynchronous Multiplayer + Sci-fi Poor odds $1.0k 33 devs
  13. Asynchronous Multiplayer + Futuristic Poor odds $225 10 devs
Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

DEATH STRANDING 2: ON THE BEACH 2026 · $32M Planet Coaster 2 2024 · $20M Halloween: The Game 2026 · $14M Rise of the Ronin 2025 · $9.8M The Bazaar 2025 · $9.0M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
DEATH STRANDING 2: ON THE BEACH $69.99 15,434 94% 463k $32M (exactly $32,406,770) KOJIMA PRODUCTIONS, Nixxes Software
Planet Coaster 2 $49.99 13,047 74% 391k $20M (exactly $19,566,586) Frontier Developments
Halloween: The Game $39.99 11,868 68% 356k $14M (exactly $14,238,040) IllFonic
Rise of the Ronin $49.99 6,503 64% 195k $9.8M (exactly $9,752,549) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
The Bazaar $19.99 14,931 70% 448k $9.0M (exactly $8,954,121) Tempo
The Texas Chain Saw Massacre older $14.99 19,731 68% 592k $8.9M (exactly $8,873,031) Sumo Digital
Backpack Battles $14.99 18,933 91% 568k $8.5M (exactly $8,514,170) PlayWithFurcifer
Assetto Corsa Rally · EA $29.99 8,757 87% 263k $7.9M (exactly $7,878,673) Supernova Games Studios
Warhammer 40,000: Battlesector older $39.99 5,064 88% 152k $6.1M (exactly $6,075,281) Slitherine Ltd.
Turmoil older $12.99 13,154 92% 395k $5.1M (exactly $5,126,114) Gamious
Oaken Tower · EA $9.99 3,024 89% 91k $906k (exactly $906,293) Bocary Studios
Dwarven Realms $9.99 2,850 81% 86k $854k (exactly $854,145) Crater Studios
VHOLUME $8.00 2,992 97% 90k $718k (exactly $718,080) Nathan Grange, Léonard Lemaitre, Niels… (Nathan Grange, Léonard Lemaitre, Niels Tiercelin)

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.