Do I ship it?

Games › Asynchronous Multiplayer › Asynchronous Multiplayer + Nature

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Nature Asynchronous Multiplayer game?

Asynchronous Multiplayer + Nature

Only 10 developers shipped a Nature Asynchronous Multiplayer game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Tides of Tomorrow 🌊, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $37k, ×59 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.6k; 1 in 20 cleared $460k, ×746 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 20 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 59.4 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 20 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Asynchronous Multiplayer + Nature
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Asynchronous Multiplayer + Nature: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $2.5k (exactly $2,518)
Median $37k (exactly $37,327)
Top 25% $94k (exactly $94,437)
Top 5% $469k (exactly $468,744)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 26
Announced 20
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 350% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Asynchronous Multiplayer
effort 5 / 10 · low · a backend with accounts and persistent turns
Nature
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Asynchronous Multiplayer
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 84% positive over 1,721 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.6k, median $37k, 1 in 4 over $94k, 1 in 20 over $460k.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.6k. 20 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Asynchronous Multiplayer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Turn-BasedStrong odds13 devs · median $60k · 10 announced
  2. + Artificial IntelligenceStrong odds10 devs · median $25k · 12 announced
  3. + Immersive SimFair8 devs · median $17k · 10 announced
  4. + Board GameFair30 devs · median $6.7k · 33 announced
  5. + WarFair14 devs · median $6.0k · 20 announced
  6. + Turn-Based StrategyFair43 devs · median $3.6k · 54 announced
  7. + Strategy RPGFair8 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  8. + SpaceLong shot15 devs · median $299 · 18 announced
  9. + Tactical RPGPoor odds10 devs · median $63k · 16 announced
  10. + Inventory ManagementPoor odds21 devs · median $56k · 48 announced
  11. + AutomationPoor odds12 devs · median $56k · 18 announced
  12. + MedievalPoor odds13 devs · median $53k · 38 announced

All 76 pairs on the Asynchronous Multiplayer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Kayak VR: Mirage 2022 · $694k Tides of Tomorrow 🌊 2026 · $469k Disc Golf Masters 2026 · EA · $320k Cascadia 2025 · $94k Eggo 2026 · $56k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Kayak VR: Mirage older $22.99 1,006 82% 30k $694k (exactly $693,838) Better Than Life
Tides of Tomorrow 🌊 $29.99 521 86% 16k $469k (exactly $468,744) Digixart
Disc Golf Masters · EA $24.99 427 83% 13k $320k (exactly $320,122) Spinoff Games
Cascadia $14.99 210 98% 6.3k $94k (exactly $94,437) Dire Wolf
Eggo $5.99 310 83% 9.3k $56k (exactly $55,707) 天赋一饼 Meme Crepe
Hoofobia $6.99 178 68% 5.3k $37k (exactly $37,327) Deathyell Games
Stone Age: Digital Edition older $14.99 82 82% 2.5k $37k (exactly $36,875) Acram Digital, Hans im Glück
Nature Game System $19.99 49 73% 1.5k $29k (exactly $29,385) North Star Digital Games
Animated Puzzles older $9.99 73 94% 2.2k $22k (exactly $21,878) Mexond
DownhillVR · EA older $14.99 25 88% 750 $11k (exactly $11,242) FiredBy s.r.o.
Imposters $7.99 17 47% 510 $4.1k (exactly $4,075) Deathyell Games
ONE MORE FISHING $11.99 7 100% 210 $2.5k (exactly $2,518) Linewake Studio
Cosmo in Tarot: Tarot Study Simulator $4.99 2 0% 60 $299 (exactly $299) YemixGames
Thousands of Heroes $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) radiuthree

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.