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Should I ship a Magic Asynchronous Multiplayer game?
Asynchronous Multiplayer + Magic
Only 11 developers shipped a Magic Asynchronous Multiplayer game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Oaken Tower, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $60; 1 in 20 cleared $900k, ×1443 the market median. Revenue is down 50% on the market; 28 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $60 (exactly $60) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) |
| Top 25% | $30k (exactly $29,680) |
| Top 5% | $906k (exactly $906,293) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 11 |
| Released games | 37 |
| Announced | 28 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 27%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Asynchronous Multiplayer
- effort 5 / 10 · low · a backend with accounts and persistent turns
- Magic
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Asynchronous Multiplayer
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 8 games average 88% positive over 3,325 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $60. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Asynchronous Multiplayer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Turn-BasedStrong odds
- + Artificial IntelligenceStrong odds
- + Immersive SimFair
- + Board GameFair
- + WarFair
- + Turn-Based StrategyFair
- + Strategy RPGFair
- + SpaceLong shot
- + Tactical RPGPoor odds
- + Inventory ManagementPoor odds
- + AutomationPoor odds
- + MedievalPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Dominions 5 - Warriors of the Faith | older | $39.99 | 1,924 94% | 58k | $2.3M (exactly $2,308,223) | Illwinter Game Design |
| | Conquest of Elysium 5 | older | $29.99 | 1,872 90% | 56k | $1.7M (exactly $1,684,238) | Illwinter Game Design |
| | Oaken Tower | · EA | $9.99 | 3,024 89% | 91k | $906k (exactly $906,293) | Bocary Studios |
| | Chaos Reborn | older | $9.99 | 819 74% | 25k | $245k (exactly $245,454) | Snapshot Games Inc. |
| | Paper Animal Adventure | · EA | $14.99 | 139 95% | 4.2k | $63k (exactly $62,508) | Cuddling Raccoons Studio |
| | Some of You May Die | $14.99 | 66 69% | 2.0k | $30k (exactly $29,680) | Octavia Blue | |
| | Conclave | older | $9.99 | 71 73% | 2.1k | $21k (exactly $21,279) | 10x10 Room |
| | Summoner's Gambit | $7.99 | 69 52% | 2.1k | $17k (exactly $16,539) | Billion Studio | |
| | Hero Allstars: Void Invasion | older | $4.99 | 84 91% | 2.5k | $13k (exactly $12,575) | DakeCraft |
| | Gem Rush | older | $9.99 | 19 94% | 570 | $5.7k (exactly $5,694) | Quicksilver Software, Inc. |
| | Mirror Throne: Auto Battler | $6.99 | 21 90% | 630 | $4.4k (exactly $4,404) | Zackavelli | |
| | Circuit Stance | $9.99 | 4 75% | 120 | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) | Fluffy Brown | |
| | Everforge: Craft Legends | $6.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $210 (exactly $210) | Ammonite Design Studios Ltd | |
| | Aura Farming Simulator | $1.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $60 (exactly $60) | ShortStackStudio | |
| | Corlero | $14.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Test 3 Games LLC | |
| | Thousands of Heroes | $9.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | radiuthree |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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