Do I ship it?

Games › Asynchronous Multiplayer › Asynchronous Multiplayer + Space

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Space Asynchronous Multiplayer game?

Asynchronous Multiplayer + Space

Only 15 developers shipped a Space Asynchronous Multiplayer game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Down with the Ship, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 18 more are announced.

Verdict: long shot, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300, ×0.5 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, but 1 in 20 cleared $360k, ×585 the market median. Revenue is up 4562600% on the market; 18 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 4562600% on the market, 18 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Asynchronous Multiplayer + Space
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.3k → $0 → $1.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Asynchronous Multiplayer + Space: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $299 (exactly $299)
Top 25% $37k (exactly $37,022)
Top 5% $367k (exactly $367,405)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 37
Announced 18
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 22%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Asynchronous Multiplayer
effort 5 / 10 · low · a backend with accounts and persistent turns
Space
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Asynchronous Multiplayer
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 1,522 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $300, 1 in 4 over $37k, 1 in 20 over $360k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 18 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Asynchronous Multiplayer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Turn-BasedStrong odds13 devs · median $60k · 10 announced
  2. + Artificial IntelligenceStrong odds10 devs · median $25k · 12 announced
  3. + Immersive SimFair8 devs · median $17k · 10 announced
  4. + Board GameFair30 devs · median $6.7k · 33 announced
  5. + WarFair14 devs · median $6.0k · 20 announced
  6. + Turn-Based StrategyFair43 devs · median $3.6k · 54 announced
  7. + Strategy RPGFair8 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  8. + Tactical RPGPoor odds10 devs · median $63k · 16 announced
  9. + Inventory ManagementPoor odds21 devs · median $56k · 48 announced
  10. + AutomationPoor odds12 devs · median $56k · 18 announced
  11. + MedievalPoor odds13 devs · median $53k · 38 announced
  12. + NaturePoor odds10 devs · median $37k · 20 announced

All 76 pairs on the Asynchronous Multiplayer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Warhammer 40,000: Battlesector 2021 · $6.1M Shadow Empire 2020 · $1.7M Down with the Ship 2026 · EA · $367k Exo Rally Championship 2026 · $280k Galaxy Trucker: Extended Edition 2019 · $64k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Warhammer 40,000: Battlesector older $39.99 5,064 88% 152k $6.1M (exactly $6,075,281) Slitherine Ltd.
Shadow Empire older $39.99 1,431 82% 43k $1.7M (exactly $1,716,771) VR Designs
Down with the Ship · EA $14.99 817 93% 25k $367k (exactly $367,405) Iron Anchor Games
Exo Rally Championship $24.99 374 90% 11k $280k (exactly $280,388) Exbleative
Galaxy Trucker: Extended Edition older $9.99 213 89% 6.4k $64k (exactly $63,836) CGE Digital
Space Imperia 4X $22.99 70 92% 2.1k $48k (exactly $48,279) Breich Games
Eclipse - 2nd Dawn for the Galaxy $12.99 95 57% 2.9k $37k (exactly $37,022) BrettspielWelt GmbH
Riftborne · EA $7.99 108 91% 3.2k $26k (exactly $25,888) Pitio Productions
NebuLeet $15.99 53 90% 1.6k $25k (exactly $25,424) quasilyte
PowerWash Adventure VR older $6.99 90 74% 2.7k $19k (exactly $18,873) Grass Digital Technology
TET~CRAFT: The Fourth Temple $33.33 1 100% 30 $1.0k (exactly $1,000) ceneezer
Alpha Genesis · EA $4.99 2 50% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Estro.Games
Codex Solis: Purrgatorium $6.99 1 100% 30 $210 (exactly $210) Emre Sahin
Gravity Force $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Coffeeshock Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.