Do I ship it?

Games › Asynchronous Multiplayer › Asynchronous Multiplayer + Artificial Intelligence

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an AI Asynchronous Multiplayer game?

Asynchronous Multiplayer + Artificial Intelligence

Only 10 developers shipped an AI Asynchronous Multiplayer game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Conquest of Go, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 12 more are announced.

Verdict: strong odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $25k, ×40 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 7 in 10 cleared $1.1k. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 12 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×1.3 per shipper.

Deciding numbers: median 40.5 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 12 announced, ×1.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Asynchronous Multiplayer + Artificial Intelligence
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Asynchronous Multiplayer + Artificial Intelligence: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $1.2k (exactly $1,199)
Median $25k (exactly $25,424)
Top 25% $63k (exactly $62,968)
Top 5% $261k (exactly $261,276)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 29
Announced 12
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $13.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 800% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 24%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Asynchronous Multiplayer
effort 5 / 10 · low · a backend with accounts and persistent turns
Artificial Intelligence
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Asynchronous Multiplayer
Price point
$13.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 83% positive over 1,533 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.2k, median $25k, 1 in 4 over $62k, 1 in 20 over $260k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. 12 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Asynchronous Multiplayer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Turn-BasedStrong odds13 devs · median $60k · 10 announced
  2. + Immersive SimFair8 devs · median $17k · 10 announced
  3. + Board GameFair30 devs · median $6.7k · 33 announced
  4. + WarFair14 devs · median $6.0k · 20 announced
  5. + Turn-Based StrategyFair43 devs · median $3.6k · 54 announced
  6. + Strategy RPGFair8 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  7. + SpaceLong shot15 devs · median $299 · 18 announced
  8. + Tactical RPGPoor odds10 devs · median $63k · 16 announced
  9. + Inventory ManagementPoor odds21 devs · median $56k · 48 announced
  10. + AutomationPoor odds12 devs · median $56k · 18 announced
  11. + MedievalPoor odds13 devs · median $53k · 38 announced
  12. + NaturePoor odds10 devs · median $37k · 20 announced

All 76 pairs on the Asynchronous Multiplayer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

GLADIABOTS - AI Combat Arena 2019 · $380k The Conquest of Go 2025 · $261k Backpack Jianghu 2026 · $237k Beat Aim - Rhythm FPS Trainer 2019 · EA · $94k Screeps: Arena 2025 · $63k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
GLADIABOTS - AI Combat Arena older $14.99 846 87% 25k $380k (exactly $380,446) GFX47
The Conquest of Go $14.99 581 94% 17k $261k (exactly $261,276) Wolfey Studios
Backpack Jianghu $13.99 565 80% 17k $237k (exactly $237,130) 背包工作室
Beat Aim - Rhythm FPS Trainer · EA older $14.99 210 89% 6.3k $94k (exactly $94,437) Kamyker
Screeps: Arena $19.99 105 82% 3.2k $63k (exactly $62,968) Screeps, LLC
Saga & Seeker $9.99 178 57% 5.3k $53k (exactly $53,347) Dagdoria Studio
Tsuro - The Game of The Path older $9.99 134 91% 4.0k $40k (exactly $40,160) Thunderbox Entertainment
Black Hole Pool VR older $19.99 43 79% 1.3k $26k (exactly $25,787) Pixel Works Ltd.
NebuLeet $15.99 53 90% 1.6k $25k (exactly $25,424) quasilyte
Hnefatafl older $9.99 48 100% 1.4k $14k (exactly $14,386) Philippe Schober
Chess Kingdom $4.99 45 91% 1.4k $6.7k (exactly $6,736) Pinch Games
Circuit Stance $9.99 4 75% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Fluffy Brown
TET~CRAFT: The Fourth Temple $33.33 1 100% 30 $1.0k (exactly $1,000) ceneezer
Transistor Defense · EA $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Realm Games LLC, Valiant Pixel Studios… (Realm Games LLC, Valiant Pixel Studios LLC)
LabyrAInth · EA $8.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) G.U.F.O. Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.