Do I ship it?

Games › Asynchronous Multiplayer › Asynchronous Multiplayer + Futuristic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Futuristic Asynchronous Multiplayer game?

Asynchronous Multiplayer + Futuristic

Only 10 developers shipped a Futuristic Asynchronous Multiplayer game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Bazaar, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $230, ×0.4 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50. 29 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper, while momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 29 announced, ×3.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Asynchronous Multiplayer + Futuristic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $900 → $25k → $60 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Asynchronous Multiplayer + Futuristic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $225 (exactly $225)
Top 25% $1.5k (exactly $1,498)
Top 5% $9.0M (exactly $8,954,121)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 29
Announced 29
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 300% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Asynchronous Multiplayer
effort 5 / 10 · low · a backend with accounts and persistent turns
Futuristic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Asynchronous Multiplayer
Price point
$8.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 7 games average 70% positive over 14,996 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $230, 1 in 4 over $1.4k, 1 in 20 over $8.9M.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 29 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Asynchronous Multiplayer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Turn-BasedStrong odds13 devs · median $60k · 10 announced
  2. + Artificial IntelligenceStrong odds10 devs · median $25k · 12 announced
  3. + Immersive SimFair8 devs · median $17k · 10 announced
  4. + Board GameFair30 devs · median $6.7k · 33 announced
  5. + WarFair14 devs · median $6.0k · 20 announced
  6. + Turn-Based StrategyFair43 devs · median $3.6k · 54 announced
  7. + Strategy RPGFair8 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  8. + SpaceLong shot15 devs · median $299 · 18 announced
  9. + Tactical RPGPoor odds10 devs · median $63k · 16 announced
  10. + Inventory ManagementPoor odds21 devs · median $56k · 48 announced
  11. + AutomationPoor odds12 devs · median $56k · 18 announced
  12. + MedievalPoor odds13 devs · median $53k · 38 announced

All 76 pairs on the Asynchronous Multiplayer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

The Bazaar 2025 · $9.0M Bots Are Stupid 2022 · $63k Mass Exodus Redux 2017 · $59k Omega Pilot 2022 · $45k Z-Race 2021 · $34k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Bazaar $19.99 14,931 70% 448k $9.0M (exactly $8,954,121) Tempo
Bots Are Stupid older $12.99 161 77% 4.8k $63k (exactly $62,742) Leander Edler-Golla
Mass Exodus Redux older $6.99 280 72% 8.4k $59k (exactly $58,716) Altaire
Omega Pilot older $14.99 100 73% 3.0k $45k (exactly $44,970) XOCUS
Z-Race older $14.99 75 76% 2.3k $34k (exactly $33,728) XOCUS
NebuLeet $15.99 53 90% 1.6k $25k (exactly $25,424) quasilyte
Mannequin older $9.99 39 79% 1.2k $12k (exactly $11,688) Fast Travel Games
Astraeus older $14.99 7 71% 210 $3.1k (exactly $3,148) E McNeill
T-Kara Puzzles older $4.99 14 92% 420 $2.1k (exactly $2,096) Mexond
Refuge older $4.99 12 75% 360 $1.8k (exactly $1,796) CAAMS
Space Tournament $9.99 5 100% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) Trash Titans
Circuit Stance $9.99 4 75% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Fluffy Brown
Liar's Dice $7.49 1 0% 30 $225 (exactly $225) YOAMB
Aura Farming Simulator $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) ShortStackStudio
ANXRacers - Drift Space $0.99 1 100% 30 $30 (exactly $30) AEonAX Studios
Run the Rings $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Final Screw
LabyrAInth · EA $8.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) G.U.F.O. Games
.panic $2.49 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Mad Camel Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.