Do I ship it?

Games › Mechanics › Action

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Action game?

Action

Of 12,828 developers who shipped an Action game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24,688 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $750, ×1.2 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $410k, ×660 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 24,688 games are announced against 7,605 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.2 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 24,688 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12,828
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.3k → $1.5k → $1.2k → $1.1k → $1.1k → $1.0k → $599 (still earning) → $299 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12,828
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $748 (exactly $748)
Top 25% $6.3k (exactly $6,296)
Top 5% $415k (exactly $414,742)
Developers, 2 yr 12,828
Released games 53,456
Announced 24,688
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Action
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 2,607,801 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $750, 1 in 4 over $6.2k, 1 in 20 over $410k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 8 in 10 of the 7,496 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24,688 games are announced against 7,605 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Action

289 pairs · ranked by verdict, then medianwith: mechanics · settings · any
  1. Action + Transportation Poor odds $3.1k 42 devs
  2. Souls-like + Action Poor odds $3.0k 571 devs
  3. Action + Time Travel Poor odds $3.0k 79 devs
  4. Party-Based RPG + Action Poor odds $2.9k 118 devs
  5. Action + Loot Poor odds $2.8k 502 devs
  6. Action + Historical Poor odds $2.8k 257 devs
  7. Action + Fishing Poor odds $2.8k 78 devs
  8. Action + World War II Poor odds $2.7k 72 devs
  9. Fighting + Action Poor odds $2.7k 209 devs
  10. Action + Steampunk Poor odds $2.6k 79 devs
  11. Action + Farming Poor odds $2.5k 24 devs
  12. Action + Building Poor odds $2.5k 468 devs
  13. Action + Minigames Poor odds $2.4k 75 devs
  14. Action + Naval Poor odds $2.4k 66 devs
  15. Cycling + Action Poor odds $2.4k 14 devs
  16. Open World + Action Poor odds $2.4k 1,100 devs
  17. Action + Heist Poor odds $2.4k 63 devs
  18. Immersive Sim + Action Poor odds $2.4k 517 devs
  19. Action + Farming Sim Poor odds $2.4k 77 devs
  20. Action + Cold War Poor odds $2.3k 42 devs
  21. Action + Bullet Heaven Poor odds $2.3k 384 devs
  22. Action + Dinosaurs Poor odds $2.3k 87 devs
  23. Action + Vikings Poor odds $2.3k 17 devs
  24. Naval Combat + Action Poor odds $2.2k 67 devs
  25. Action + Pirates Poor odds $2.2k 103 devs
  26. Action + Music Poor odds $2.1k 136 devs
  27. Action + Vampires Poor odds $2.1k 134 devs
  28. Action + Management Poor odds $2.1k 364 devs
  29. Action + Capitalism Poor odds $2.1k 111 devs
  30. Action + Life Sim Poor odds $1.9k 200 devs
  31. Action + Deckbuilding Poor odds $1.9k 224 devs
  32. Action + Gothic Poor odds $1.9k 168 devs
  33. Action + Local Co-Op Poor odds $1.9k 584 devs
  34. RPG + Action Poor odds $1.9k 2,276 devs
  35. Action + Exploration Poor odds $1.8k 2,913 devs
  36. Character Customization + Action Poor odds $1.8k 1,229 devs
  37. Action + Dungeon Crawler Poor odds $1.8k 780 devs
  38. Spectacle fighter + Action Poor odds $1.8k 267 devs
  39. Action + Mining Poor odds $1.8k 131 devs
  40. Automation + Action Poor odds $1.8k 114 devs
  41. Action RPG + Action Poor odds $1.8k 1,631 devs
  42. CRPG + Action Poor odds $1.8k 88 devs
  43. Action + Creature Collector Poor odds $1.8k 143 devs
  44. Action + Inventory Management Poor odds $1.7k 349 devs
  45. Social Deduction + Action Poor odds $1.7k 46 devs
  46. Action + Hack and Slash Poor odds $1.6k 1,268 devs
  47. Gun Customization + Action Poor odds $1.6k 295 devs
  48. Action + Shop Keeper Poor odds $1.6k 49 devs
  49. Action + Martial Arts Poor odds $1.6k 205 devs
  50. Action + Simulation Poor odds $1.6k 1,661 devs
Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Cyberpunk 2077 2020 · $1.6B Black Myth: Wukong 2024 · $1.6B Red Dead Redemption 2 2019 · $1.5B ELDEN RING 2022 · $1.5B Rust 2018 · $1.4B
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Cyberpunk 2077 older $59.99 883,400 87% 27M $1.6B (exactly $1,589,854,980) CD PROJEKT RED
Black Myth: Wukong older $59.99 881,186 96% 26M $1.6B (exactly $1,585,870,444) Game Science
Red Dead Redemption 2 older $59.99 846,270 92% 25M $1.5B (exactly $1,523,032,119) Rockstar Games
ELDEN RING older $59.99 831,470 93% 25M $1.5B (exactly $1,496,396,559) FromSoftware, Inc.
Rust older $39.99 1,167,920 87% 35M $1.4B (exactly $1,401,153,624) Facepunch Studios
The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt - Complete Edition older $49.99 823,357 96% 25M $1.2B (exactly $1,234,788,493) CD PROJEKT RED
HELLDIVERS™ 2 older $39.99 838,901 76% 25M $1.0B (exactly $1,006,429,530) Arrowhead Game Studios
Battlefield™ 6 $69.99 295,442 63% 8.9M $620M (exactly $620,339,567) Battlefield Studios
DayZ older $49.99 387,850 78% 12M $582M (exactly $581,658,645) Bohemia Interactive
No Man's Sky older $59.99 315,054 83% 9.5M $567M (exactly $567,002,684) Hello Games
Valheim $29.99 464,893 94% 14M $418M (exactly $418,264,232) Iron Gate AB
Palworld $29.99 411,947 94% 12M $371M (exactly $370,628,716) Pocketpair
ARC Raiders $39.99 299,346 82% 9.0M $359M (exactly $359,125,396) Embark Studios
Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 $49.99 181,667 95% 5.5M $272M (exactly $272,446,000) Sandfall Interactive
Kingdom Come: Deliverance II $59.99 144,558 93% 4.3M $260M (exactly $260,161,033) Warhorse Studios
Crimson Desert Enhanced $69.99 115,056 83% 3.5M $242M (exactly $241,583,083) Pearl Abyss
Monster Hunter Wilds $39.99 200,984 52% 6.0M $241M (exactly $241,120,505) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
Hollow Knight: Silksong $19.99 386,977 89% 12M $232M (exactly $232,070,107) Team Cherry
Resident Evil Requiem $69.99 106,931 95% 3.2M $225M (exactly $224,523,021) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.