Do I ship it?

Games › Action › Action + Farming Sim

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Farming Sim Action game?

Action + Farming Sim

Of 77 developers who shipped a Farming Sim Action game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 154 more are announced, ×4.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.4k, ×3.8 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $320k, ×513 the market median. Revenue is down 75% on the market; 154 games are announced against 35 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 75% on the market, 154 announced, ×4.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action + Farming Sim
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 77
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $7.2k → $1.9k → $5.9k → $2.2k → $8.6k → $2.7k → $1.1k (still earning) → $718 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action + Farming Sim: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 77
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $2.4k (exactly $2,394)
Top 25% $22k (exactly $21,824)
Top 5% $322k (exactly $322,039)
Developers, 2 yr 77
Released games 187
Announced 154
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Farming Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Action, Farming Sim; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Simulation, Exploration
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 73% positive over 5,433 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $2.4k, 1 in 4 over $21k, 1 in 20 over $320k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 7 in 10 of the 49 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 154 games are announced against 35 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Real-Time with PauseFair16 devs · median $103k · 18 announced
  2. + Job SimulatorFair25 devs · median $14k · 30 announced
  3. + PinballFair42 devs · median $2.6k · 48 announced
  4. + Escape RoomFair43 devs · median $1.8k · 40 announced
  5. + Football (American)Fair16 devs · median $1.3k · 6 announced
  6. + BaseballFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 12 announced
  7. + BilliardsFair19 devs · median $958 · 25 announced
  8. + IdlerFair225 devs · median $898 · 292 announced
  9. + TennisFair23 devs · median $628 · 12 announced
  10. + Time AttackFair90 devs · median $599 · 110 announced
  11. + TabletopFair71 devs · median $505 · 86 announced
  12. + WuxiaPoor odds9 devs · median $189k · 36 announced

All 288 pairs on the Action page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

DAVE THE DIVER 2023 · $86M Sakuna: Of Rice and Ruin 2020 · $4.5M HARVESTELLA 2022 · $3.7M Cloud Meadow 2020 · EA · $3.1M Fae Farm 2023 · $2.5M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
DAVE THE DIVER older $19.99 142,662 96% 4.3M $86M (exactly $85,554,401) MINTROCKET
Sakuna: Of Rice and Ruin older $29.99 5,004 92% 150k $4.5M (exactly $4,502,099) Edelweiss
HARVESTELLA older $59.99 2,071 77% 62k $3.7M (exactly $3,727,179) Square Enix
Cloud Meadow · EA older $19.99 5,134 85% 154k $3.1M (exactly $3,078,860) Team Nimbus
Fae Farm older $29.99 2,741 78% 82k $2.5M (exactly $2,466,078) Phoenix Labs
Atomicrops older $14.99 5,134 93% 154k $2.3M (exactly $2,308,760) Bird Bath Games
Immortal Life older $16.99 3,853 79% 116k $2.0M (exactly $1,963,874) YiFang Studio
Re:Legend older $24.99 1,514 56% 45k $1.1M (exactly $1,135,046) Magnus Games Studio
Rune Factory 3 Special older $39.99 734 94% 22k $881k (exactly $880,580) Marvelous Inc.
Return from Core $16.99 1,620 75% 49k $826k (exactly $825,714) 顽核社 FuncoreClub
Chinese Frontiers $24.99 514 72% 15k $385k (exactly $385,346) SolidGames
Zombie Graveyard Simulator $14.99 805 89% 24k $362k (exactly $362,008) threeW
Viking Frontiers $19.99 537 51% 16k $322k (exactly $322,039) BLUM Entertainment
Farming & Supermarket Simulator $11.99 835 79% 25k $300k (exactly $300,350) EY08 Games
Summa Expeditionis $19.99 305 68% 9.2k $183k (exactly $182,908) Lobico Games
Planet Lust $14.99 335 76% 10k $151k (exactly $150,650) Skullgear
Oppidum $29.99 161 67% 4.8k $145k (exactly $144,852) EP Games®
The Last FARMER $12.99 258 56% 7.7k $101k (exactly $100,543) Geekon
Farmagia $49.99 63 46% 1.9k $94k (exactly $94,481) Marvelous Inc.

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.