Do I ship it?

GamesWargameWargame + Zombies

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Zombie Wargame?

Wargame + Zombies

Only 19 developers shipped a Zombie Wargame in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, After Long Night, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 39 more are announced, ×4.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $180, ×0.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $59. 39 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.9 per shipper, while revenue is up 1335% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 1335% on the market, 39 announced, ×4.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Wargame + Zombies
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $600 → $23k → $180 → $148 → $179
Outcomes for Wargame + Zombies: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $59 (exactly $59)
Median $179 (exactly $179)
Top 25% $21k (exactly $21,333)
Top 5% $114k (exactly $114,186)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 63
Announced 39
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1335% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Wargame
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Zombies
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Wargame; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Roguelite, Tower Defense
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.90 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.90 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 69% positive over 1,228 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $59, median $180, 1 in 4 over $21k, 1 in 20 over $110k.

3 in 10 developers made under $59. 9 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 39 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Wargame with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Inventory ManagementFair21 devs · median $4.6k · 20 announced
  2. + Local MultiplayerFair28 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  3. + NavalFair37 devs · median $2.4k · 37 announced
  4. + TabletopFair50 devs · median $1.1k · 57 announced
  5. + LogicFair20 devs · median $599 · 26 announced
  6. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds11 devs · median $37k · 24 announced
  7. + Real-TimePoor odds13 devs · median $37k · 17 announced
  8. + Co-opPoor odds43 devs · median $21k · 84 announced
  9. + StealthPoor odds10 devs · median $21k · 39 announced
  10. + DiplomacyPoor odds34 devs · median $17k · 59 announced
  11. + Colony SimPoor odds24 devs · median $16k · 55 announced
  12. + SandboxPoor odds82 devs · median $14k · 142 announced

All 147 pairs on the Wargame page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Bodycam · EA older $33.32 60,179 80% 1.8M $60M (exactly $60,154,928) Reissad Studio
Death Crown older $12.99 516 89% 15k $201k (exactly $201,085) 5WORD Team
After Long Night $9.99 381 72% 11k $114k (exactly $114,186) 疯狗工作室
FIRE STATE · EA $9.90 302 68% 9.1k $90k (exactly $89,694) UnderFire
World Empire 2027 older $19.99 80 77% 2.4k $48k (exactly $47,976) iGindisGames
Age of Undead older $19.99 80 76% 2.4k $48k (exactly $47,976) Insane Dreamers
ZombieCards $5.99 232 48% 7.0k $42k (exactly $41,690) HotScent
Z-Collapse older $12.99 87 73% 2.6k $34k (exactly $33,904) Pok&Co
Rescue Operation older $3.99 253 87% 7.6k $30k (exactly $30,284) Laush Dmitriy Sergeevich
Beach Defense: Zombie Invasion $3.99 197 81% 5.9k $24k (exactly $23,581) Only Fun Games
Bees vs Zombees $7.99 89 92% 2.7k $21k (exactly $21,333) DeadPixel
WARRIORS · EA $17.99 6 0% 180 $3.2k (exactly $3,238) BAKROS DYNAMICS
Night of the Dead Simulator $7.99 12 50% 360 $2.9k (exactly $2,876) Unknown People Lab
Supreme Ruler Global Outbreak $19.99 3 66% 90 $1.8k (exactly $1,799) BattleGoat Studios
Instruments of Peace $9.99 4 75% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Outlaw Games
Arena Fighter $2.99 2 100% 60 $179 (exactly $179) TAHA Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.