Do I ship it?

GamesWargameWargame + Inventory Management

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Inventory Management Wargame?

Wargame + Inventory Management

Of 21 developers who shipped an Inventory Management Wargame in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.6k, ×7.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $1.4k. Revenue is up 10% on the market; 20 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 7.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 10% on the market, 20 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Wargame + Inventory Management
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 21
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.6k → $16k → $4.6k (still earning) → $39k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Wargame + Inventory Management: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 21
Bottom 30% $1.3k (exactly $1,347)
Median $4.6k (exactly $4,613)
Top 25% $189k (exactly $188,842)
Top 5% $481k (exactly $480,959)
Developers, 2 yr 21
Released games 35
Announced 20
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Wargame
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Inventory Management
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Wargame, Inventory Management; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Real Time Tactics, Action, Combat
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 5,253 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.4k, median $4.6k, 1 in 4 over $180k, 1 in 20 over $480k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.4k. 7 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Wargame with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Local MultiplayerFair28 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  2. + NavalFair37 devs · median $2.4k · 37 announced
  3. + TabletopFair50 devs · median $1.1k · 57 announced
  4. + LogicFair20 devs · median $599 · 26 announced
  5. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds11 devs · median $37k · 24 announced
  6. + Real-TimePoor odds13 devs · median $37k · 17 announced
  7. + Co-opPoor odds43 devs · median $21k · 84 announced
  8. + StealthPoor odds10 devs · median $21k · 39 announced
  9. + DiplomacyPoor odds34 devs · median $17k · 59 announced
  10. + Colony SimPoor odds24 devs · median $16k · 55 announced
  11. + SandboxPoor odds82 devs · median $14k · 142 announced
  12. + Cold WarPoor odds34 devs · median $11k · 49 announced

All 147 pairs on the Wargame page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Tiny Combat Arena · EA older $19.99 1,511 81% 45k $906k (exactly $906,147) Why485, MicroProse Software
Ukrainian Warfare: Gostomel Heroes $14.99 1,921 90% 58k $864k (exactly $863,874) Cats Who Play
Dagger Directive $19.99 802 83% 24k $481k (exactly $480,959) Arcane Alpacas LLC
Scavland · EA $19.99 800 81% 24k $480k (exactly $479,760) NoShadow
Ratten Reich $19.99 616 40% 18k $369k (exactly $369,415) METALLADLERSTUDIO
Air Defender · EA $20.19 364 78% 11k $220k (exactly $220,475) ROTOR3
Warlords Battleground: Extraction $11.99 525 84% 16k $189k (exactly $188,842) 绝汪
Good Kill! · EA $13.99 104 68% 3.1k $44k (exactly $43,649) gamegine
BURNED HORIZONS · EA $44.99 29 34% 870 $39k (exactly $39,141) BURNED HORIZONS STUDIO
Bunker Defense older $24.99 43 83% 1.3k $32k (exactly $32,237) Goodvole
Harpoon Classic '97 $8.99 61 83% 1.8k $16k (exactly $16,452) Alliance Interactive
Partisan $7.99 31 83% 930 $7.4k (exactly $7,431) Paradigm

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.