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Should I ship a Local Multiplayer Wargame?
Wargame + Local Multiplayer
Of 28 developers who shipped a Local Multiplayer Wargame in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced.
Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $3.0k, ×4.8 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $330. Revenue is up 290% on the market; 28 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $330 (exactly $330) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.0k (exactly $2,992) |
| Top 25% | $22k (exactly $22,178) |
| Top 5% | $99k (exactly $98,765) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 28 |
| Released games | 122 |
| Announced | 28 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 290% on the market, supply 150% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Wargame
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Local Multiplayer
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Wargame, Local Multiplayer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Tactical, Combat
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, 1990's
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 87% positive over 1,545 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $330. 8 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Wargame with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Inventory ManagementFair
- + NavalFair
- + TabletopFair
- + LogicFair
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + Real-TimePoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + StealthPoor odds
- + DiplomacyPoor odds
- + Colony SimPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + Cold WarPoor odds
Comparable games
Romance of the Three Kingdoms XI with Power Up Kit 2018 · $4.5M 
Axis & Allies 1942 Online 2021 · $2.9M 
Combat Mission Shock Force 2 2020 · $1.1M 
Combat Mission Black Sea 2021 · $759k 
IronWolf VR 2022 · $652k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Romance of the Three Kingdoms XI with Power Up Kit | older | $39.99 | 3,754 92% | 113k | $4.5M (exactly $4,503,674) | KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD. |
| | Axis & Allies 1942 Online | older | $19.99 | 4,810 78% | 144k | $2.9M (exactly $2,884,557) | Beamdog |
| | Combat Mission Shock Force 2 | older | $59.99 | 624 80% | 19k | $1.1M (exactly $1,123,013) | Battlefront |
| | Combat Mission Black Sea | older | $59.99 | 422 81% | 13k | $759k (exactly $759,473) | Battlefront |
| | IronWolf VR | older | $19.99 | 1,087 94% | 33k | $652k (exactly $651,874) | Ionized Studios |
 | Romance of the Three Kingdoms IX with Power Up Kit | older | $29.99 | 570 84% | 17k | $513k (exactly $512,829) | KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD. |
 | Combat Mission Cold War | older | $59.99 | 156 60% | 4.7k | $281k (exactly $280,753) | Battlefront |
 | The Conquest of Go | $14.99 | 581 94% | 17k | $261k (exactly $261,276) | Wolfey Studios | |
 | Wargroove 2 | older | $19.99 | 403 69% | 12k | $242k (exactly $241,679) | Chucklefish, Robotality |
 | Death Crown | older | $12.99 | 516 89% | 15k | $201k (exactly $201,085) | 5WORD Team |
 | DSS 2: War Industry | $17.99 | 183 83% | 5.5k | $99k (exactly $98,765) | vikingfabian | |
 | F-22: Air Dominance Fighter | $19.99 | 138 91% | 4.1k | $83k (exactly $82,759) | Digital Image Design Ltd. | |
 | BattleCap | $11.99 | 159 96% | 4.8k | $57k (exactly $57,192) | MechAlmond Productions | |
 | Warhammer: Dark Omen (Classic) | $9.99 | 132 91% | 4.0k | $40k (exactly $39,560) | Mindscape | |
 | Headquarters: Cold War | $29.99 | 37 64% | 1.1k | $33k (exactly $33,289) | Starni Games | |
 | Sword & Siege Crusades: Book I | $39.95 | 19 100% | 570 | $23k (exactly $22,772) | Wargame Design Studio | |
 | Warhammer 40,000: Chaos Gate (Classic) | $9.99 | 74 90% | 2.2k | $22k (exactly $22,178) | Random Games | |
 | Final Liberation: Warhammer Epic 40,000 (Classic) | $5.99 | 88 87% | 2.6k | $16k (exactly $15,814) | Holistic Design Inc | |
 | Hand Simulator: Shooter | · EA | $2.99 | 134 46% | 4.0k | $12k (exactly $12,020) | HFM Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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