Do I ship it?

Games › Wargame › Wargame + Logic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Logic Wargame?

Wargame + Logic

Of 20 developers who shipped a Logic Wargame in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 26 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $300. Revenue is up 60% on the market; 26 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 60% on the market, 26 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Wargame + Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 20
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $239 → $30 → $300 → $2.6k → $450 → $539 (still earning) → $2.4k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Wargame + Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 20
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $2.7k (exactly $2,691)
Top 5% $8.0M (exactly $7,962,817)
Developers, 2 yr 20
Released games 59
Announced 26
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 60% on the market, supply 85% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Wargame
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Wargame, Logic; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Tactical, Tactical RPG
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 97% positive over 13,470 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $600, 1 in 4 over $2.6k, 1 in 20 over $7.9M.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 26 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Wargame with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Inventory ManagementFair21 devs · median $4.6k · 20 announced
  2. + Local MultiplayerFair28 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  3. + NavalFair37 devs · median $2.4k · 37 announced
  4. + TabletopFair50 devs · median $1.1k · 57 announced
  5. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds11 devs · median $37k · 24 announced
  6. + Real-TimePoor odds13 devs · median $37k · 17 announced
  7. + Co-opPoor odds43 devs · median $21k · 84 announced
  8. + StealthPoor odds10 devs · median $21k · 39 announced
  9. + DiplomacyPoor odds34 devs · median $17k · 59 announced
  10. + Colony SimPoor odds24 devs · median $16k · 55 announced
  11. + SandboxPoor odds82 devs · median $14k · 142 announced
  12. + Cold WarPoor odds34 devs · median $11k · 49 announced

All 147 pairs on the Wargame page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

IRON NEST: Heavy Turret Simulator 2026 · $8.0M Hasbro's BATTLESHIP 2018 · $310k The Light Remake 2020 · $219k Magic Trap 2024 · $34k Shards of the Realm 2025 · $19k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
IRON NEST: Heavy Turret Simulator $19.99 13,278 97% 398k $8.0M (exactly $7,962,817) Nick Nieuwoudt, Dominik Latos
Hasbro's BATTLESHIP older $12.49 828 82% 25k $310k (exactly $310,252) Marmalade Game Studio Ltd
The Light Remake older $4.99 1,462 87% 44k $219k (exactly $218,861) Носков Сергей
Magic Trap older $49.99 23 86% 690 $34k (exactly $34,493) Gamesforgames
Shards of the Realm $19.99 32 71% 960 $19k (exactly $19,190) Yevhen Rebrakov
Hyper Empire $11.99 46 78% 1.4k $17k (exactly $16,546) Fair Weather Studios
Controware older $29.99 8 100% 240 $7.2k (exactly $7,198) Neki4 Electronics
War Mines: WW1 older $3.99 46 93% 1.4k $5.5k (exactly $5,506) Wild Pepper Games
War Mines: WW2 older $3.99 43 86% 1.3k $5.1k (exactly $5,147) Wild Pepper Games
Flying Soldiers older $17.99 9 100% 270 $4.9k (exactly $4,857) WildSphere
Emoji Wars $9.99 12 91% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Total
HOLD THE LINE $2.99 30 76% 900 $2.7k (exactly $2,691) Art Equilibrium
Propa. $7.99 11 54% 330 $2.6k (exactly $2,637) Contagio Games
War Pawns · EA $9.99 8 87% 240 $2.4k (exactly $2,398) SOKILL
公考刷题模拟器-我要上岸 $3.99 18 61% 540 $2.2k (exactly $2,155) DoubleGame
Loot of Idle $1.99 33 48% 990 $2.0k (exactly $1,970) DarkRook Interactive
Argebe $9.99 2 50% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Exotainment

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.