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Should I ship a Trading Wargame?
Wargame + Trading
Only 10 developers shipped a Trading Wargame in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Europa Universalis V, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 31 more are announced, ×7.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.
Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $5.4k against a market of $630. 31 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $1.9k (exactly $1,946) |
|---|---|
| Median | $5.4k (exactly $5,395) |
| Top 25% | $15k (exactly $15,295) |
| Top 5% | $46M (exactly $45,627,794) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 10 |
| Released games | 26 |
| Announced | 31 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $14.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 365% on the market, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Wargame, Trading
- Price point
- $14.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 66% positive over 25,831 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $2.0k. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 31 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Wargame with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Inventory ManagementFair
- + Local MultiplayerFair
- + NavalFair
- + TabletopFair
- + LogicFair
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + Real-TimePoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + StealthPoor odds
- + DiplomacyPoor odds
- + Colony SimPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
Comparable games
Europa Universalis V 2025 · $46M 
Power & Revolution 2022 Edition 2022 · $1.2M 
Power & Revolution 2021 Edition 2021 · $943k 
SuperPower 3 2022 · $884k 
Power & Revolution 2023 Edition 2023 · $748k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Europa Universalis V | $59.99 | 25,353 66% | 761k | $46M (exactly $45,627,794) | Paradox Tinto | |
| | Power & Revolution 2022 Edition | older | $49.99 | 815 60% | 24k | $1.2M (exactly $1,222,256) | Eversim |
| | Power & Revolution 2021 Edition | older | $49.99 | 629 56% | 19k | $943k (exactly $943,311) | Eversim |
| | SuperPower 3 | older | $29.99 | 982 10% | 29k | $884k (exactly $883,505) | GolemLabs |
| | Power & Revolution 2023 Edition | older | $49.99 | 499 60% | 15k | $748k (exactly $748,350) | Eversim |
 | Geo-Political Simulator 5 | $59.99 | 391 34% | 12k | $704k (exactly $703,683) | Eversim | |
 | Primitive Society Simulator | · EA older | $19.99 | 647 83% | 19k | $388k (exactly $388,006) | YSH BigDove |
 | The Emperor and State | · EA older | $14.99 | 314 55% | 9.4k | $141k (exactly $141,206) | 涂途 |
 | Uncharted Ocean | older | $4.99 | 563 70% | 17k | $84k (exactly $84,281) | HiRabbitgame |
 | Globalism | · EA | $29.99 | 17 52% | 510 | $15k (exactly $15,295) | igelanium games |
 | Earth of Oryn | · EA | $14.99 | 31 64% | 930 | $14k (exactly $13,941) | Earth of Oryn |
 | Commander Bug Wars | $9.99 | 18 83% | 540 | $5.4k (exactly $5,395) | GoldenGod Games | |
 | New Stars | $19.99 | 5 60% | 150 | $3.0k (exactly $2,998) | adamjr | |
 | MA 2 – President Simulator | $4.99 | 13 69% | 390 | $1.9k (exactly $1,946) | Oxiwyle Inc. | |
 | World War Forex | · EA | $12.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $390 (exactly $390) | Leobot Electronics, Leon Botha, INESSOFT |
 | Balkan Bloodbath | $9.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | Michael Richard Lannon | |
 | hotland | $1.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $60 (exactly $60) | AdamasZ |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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