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Should I ship a Time Management Wargame?
Wargame + Time Management
Only 17 developers shipped a Time Management Wargame in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, 👑Idle Calibur:Zero💕(选王之剑:零), made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 35 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.1 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $900; 1 in 20 cleared $140k, ×234 the market median. Revenue is down 40% on the market; 35 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $900 (exactly $900) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.3k (exactly $1,347) |
| Top 25% | $4.6k (exactly $4,613) |
| Top 5% | $147k (exactly $146,716) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 17 |
| Released games | 48 |
| Announced | 35 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 85% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Wargame
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Time Management
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Wargame, Time Management; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Real Time Tactics, Simulation
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $10.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Anime, Hand-drawn
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $10.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 84% positive over 873 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $900. 9 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 35 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Wargame with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Inventory ManagementFair
- + Local MultiplayerFair
- + NavalFair
- + TabletopFair
- + LogicFair
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + Real-TimePoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + StealthPoor odds
- + DiplomacyPoor odds
- + Colony SimPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | 👑Idle Calibur:Zero💕(选王之剑:零) | $10.99 | 445 80% | 13k | $147k (exactly $146,716) | 绝汪 | |
| | SkyInFlames | · EA | $6.99 | 223 95% | 6.7k | $47k (exactly $46,763) | VasyliyBritva |
| | Riftborne | · EA | $7.99 | 108 91% | 3.2k | $26k (exactly $25,888) | Pitio Productions |
| | Happy Words | older | $4.99 | 121 46% | 3.6k | $18k (exactly $18,114) | LAN - GAMES LTD |
| | Kamikaze Veggies | older | $9.99 | 34 88% | 1.0k | $10k (exactly $10,190) | Red Limb Studio |
| | Legacy of Sin: Ill-Boding | $12.99 | 23 69% | 690 | $9.0k (exactly $8,963) | Absolute Power Game Studio | |
| | Middle Age Conquest | older | $6.99 | 38 76% | 1.1k | $8.0k (exactly $7,969) | Musa GUNGOR |
| | Hakan's War Manager | older | $7.99 | 30 76% | 900 | $7.2k (exactly $7,191) | Oba Games |
| | Kingdoms Rise and Fall | · EA older | $14.99 | 13 15% | 390 | $5.8k (exactly $5,846) | Little Dreams Gaming |
| | FuJianStrike | $6.99 | 22 100% | 660 | $4.6k (exactly $4,613) | Mithril_055 | |
| | No Greater Glory: The American Civil War | $9.99 | 11 72% | 330 | $3.3k (exactly $3,297) | Space Time Simulations | |
| | Central Bank | $18.99 | 5 0% | 150 | $2.8k (exactly $2,848) | Nabiulina software, Jerome Powerr studi… (Nabiulina software, Jerome Powerr studio, Rusalka Unreal Labs) | |
| | Logistics Battalion | $9.99 | 8 87% | 240 | $2.4k (exactly $2,398) | Awful Waffle Studio | |
| | Space War Economy Idle | $4.99 | 9 66% | 270 | $1.3k (exactly $1,347) | Chasm Studios | |
| | Black Border 2 | $1.99 | 19 63% | 570 | $1.1k (exactly $1,134) | Bitzooma |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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