Do I ship it?

GamesWargameWargame + Score Attack

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Score Attack Wargame?

Wargame + Score Attack

Only 10 developers shipped a Score Attack Wargame in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, ModernFire, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $180, ×0.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $6.2k, ×10 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 13 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 13 announced, ×1.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Wargame + Score Attack
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $113 → $628 → $0 (still earning) → $180 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Wargame + Score Attack: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $180 (exactly $180)
Top 25% $4.5k (exactly $4,496)
Top 5% $6.3k (exactly $6,294)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 47
Announced 13
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 300% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Wargame
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Score Attack
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Wargame, Score Attack
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 7 games average 84% positive over 104 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $180, 1 in 4 over $4.4k, 1 in 20 over $6.2k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 13 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Wargame with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Inventory ManagementFair21 devs · median $4.6k · 20 announced
  2. + Local MultiplayerFair28 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  3. + NavalFair37 devs · median $2.4k · 37 announced
  4. + TabletopFair50 devs · median $1.1k · 57 announced
  5. + LogicFair20 devs · median $599 · 26 announced
  6. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds11 devs · median $37k · 24 announced
  7. + Real-TimePoor odds13 devs · median $37k · 17 announced
  8. + Co-opPoor odds43 devs · median $21k · 84 announced
  9. + StealthPoor odds10 devs · median $21k · 39 announced
  10. + DiplomacyPoor odds34 devs · median $17k · 59 announced
  11. + Colony SimPoor odds24 devs · median $16k · 55 announced
  12. + SandboxPoor odds82 devs · median $14k · 142 announced

All 147 pairs on the Wargame page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Toy Soldiers: HD older $29.99 125 62% 3.8k $112k (exactly $112,462) Signal Studios, Outer Heaven, Eden Indu… (Signal Studios, Outer Heaven, Eden Industries)
Vertical Strike Endless Challenge older $4.99 232 76% 7.0k $35k (exactly $34,730) Project ICKX
Port Cranes : Container Age older $5.99 55 78% 1.7k $9.9k (exactly $9,884) Etchu Island Shipyard
Nuclear Fighter older $24.99 11 81% 330 $8.2k (exactly $8,247) Laush Dmitriy Sergeevich
Deputinization older $5.97 45 97% 1.4k $8.1k (exactly $8,060) Myttsi Zabav
ModernFire · EA $9.99 21 90% 630 $6.3k (exactly $6,294) FireLineGames
AURORA FLIGHT (オーロラ・フライト) $10.99 17 41% 510 $5.6k (exactly $5,605) すたじおわかる
Medieval Arms older $14.99 12 66% 360 $5.4k (exactly $5,396) Goodline Games
AirBorne Sea older $9.99 18 94% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) WerFEST Software
Eagles of World War 2 $9.99 15 86% 450 $4.5k (exactly $4,496) Paul Connor
Front Line $2.00 47 100% 1.4k $2.8k (exactly $2,820) D.IKUSHIMA
Damn Zombies $6.00 1 0% 30 $180 (exactly $180) Liubezhanin Productions
Navy Mission $2.00 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) D.IKUSHIMA
Tanks online $0.99 2 50% 60 $59 (exactly $59) Aleksey
Base Breakers $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Space Bacon
Rocket Commander VR $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Dev Dept.
Shogun's Stand $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) CDMInteractive

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.