Do I ship it?

GamesWargameWargame + Rome

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Roman Wargame?

Wargame + Rome

Only 5 developers shipped a Roman Wargame in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Strategos, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11 more are announced, ×3.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $3.0k against a market of $630. 11 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 4.7 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 11 announced, ×3.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Wargame + Rome
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 5

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Wargame + Rome: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 5
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $3.0k (exactly $2,967)
Top 25% $9.0k (exactly $8,997)
Top 5% $175k (exactly $174,680)
Developers, 2 yr 5
Released games 26
Announced 11
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Wargame
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Rome
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Wargame
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $12.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 17,538 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $3.0k, 1 in 4 over $8.9k, 1 in 20 over $170k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 11 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Wargame with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Inventory ManagementFair21 devs · median $4.6k · 20 announced
  2. + Local MultiplayerFair28 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  3. + NavalFair37 devs · median $2.4k · 37 announced
  4. + TabletopFair50 devs · median $1.1k · 57 announced
  5. + LogicFair20 devs · median $599 · 26 announced
  6. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds11 devs · median $37k · 24 announced
  7. + Real-TimePoor odds13 devs · median $37k · 17 announced
  8. + Co-opPoor odds43 devs · median $21k · 84 announced
  9. + StealthPoor odds10 devs · median $21k · 39 announced
  10. + DiplomacyPoor odds34 devs · median $17k · 59 announced
  11. + Colony SimPoor odds24 devs · median $16k · 55 announced
  12. + SandboxPoor odds82 devs · median $14k · 142 announced

All 147 pairs on the Wargame page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Total War: ROME REMASTERED older $29.99 12,627 77% 379k $11M (exactly $11,360,512) Creative Assembly, Feral Interactive
Field of Glory: Empires older $39.99 734 81% 22k $881k (exactly $880,580) Ageod
Field of Glory II older $29.99 705 87% 21k $634k (exactly $634,288) Byzantine Games
Warriors of the Nile 2 older $14.99 1,180 88% 35k $531k (exactly $530,646) Stove Studio
Hegemony III: Clash of the Ancients older $29.99 507 82% 15k $456k (exactly $456,148) Longbow Games
Ancient Wars: Sparta Definitive Edition · EA older $19.99 453 74% 14k $272k (exactly $271,664) JOTASOFT STUDIOS
Imperivm RTC - HD Edition "Great Battles of Rome" older $9.99 817 71% 25k $245k (exactly $244,855) Dinamic Software, Imperivm World
Strategos · EA $24.99 233 85% 7.0k $175k (exactly $174,680) Strategos Games
Roma Invicta older $5.99 231 83% 6.9k $42k (exactly $41,511) Puntigames
Grand War: Rome older $12.99 51 76% 1.5k $20k (exactly $19,875) Joynow Studio
Hispania $29.99 10 40% 300 $9.0k (exactly $8,997) Avalon Digital, Headquarter, Pixel Ratio
Roman General · EA $8.99 11 100% 330 $3.0k (exactly $2,967) Moore Games
Rome in a Day $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Chudsoft
Medieval Siege $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Mind Inside Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.