Do I ship it?

GamesWargameWargame + Psychological Horror

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Psychological-Horror Wargame?

Wargame + Psychological Horror

Only 6 developers shipped a Psychological-Horror Wargame in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, ICBM: Escalation, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 2 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 1 developer shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $2.0k against a market of $630. 2 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 3.1 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 2 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Wargame + Psychological Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 6

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Wargame + Psychological Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $537 (exactly $537)
Median $2.0k (exactly $1,973)
Top 25% $8.6k (exactly $8,626)
Top 5% $1.1M (exactly $1,122,826)
Developers, 2 yr 6
Released games 26
Announced 2
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 80% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Wargame
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Psychological Horror
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Wargame
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 12,250 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $540, median $2.0k, 1 in 4 over $8.6k, 1 in 20 over $1.1M.

3 in 10 developers made under $540. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 2 games are announced against 1 developer who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Wargame with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Inventory ManagementFair21 devs · median $4.6k · 20 announced
  2. + Local MultiplayerFair28 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  3. + NavalFair37 devs · median $2.4k · 37 announced
  4. + TabletopFair50 devs · median $1.1k · 57 announced
  5. + LogicFair20 devs · median $599 · 26 announced
  6. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds11 devs · median $37k · 24 announced
  7. + Real-TimePoor odds13 devs · median $37k · 17 announced
  8. + Co-opPoor odds43 devs · median $21k · 84 announced
  9. + StealthPoor odds10 devs · median $21k · 39 announced
  10. + DiplomacyPoor odds34 devs · median $17k · 59 announced
  11. + Colony SimPoor odds24 devs · median $16k · 55 announced
  12. + SandboxPoor odds82 devs · median $14k · 142 announced

All 147 pairs on the Wargame page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Cold Waters older $39.99 4,603 87% 138k $5.5M (exactly $5,522,219) Killerfish Games
Solium Infernum older $39.99 1,571 88% 47k $1.9M (exactly $1,884,729) League of Geeks
ICBM: Escalation $29.99 1,248 86% 37k $1.1M (exactly $1,122,826) SoftWarWare
Rule the Waves 3 older $39.99 855 87% 26k $1.0M (exactly $1,025,744) Naval Warfare Simulations
The Light Remake older $4.99 1,462 87% 44k $219k (exactly $218,861) Носков Сергей
Ultimate Arena older $7.99 811 83% 24k $194k (exactly $194,397) Triverske
ANIME - World War II older $1.99 1,059 80% 32k $63k (exactly $63,222) Konnichiwa Games
Raid on Taihoku older $12.99 151 82% 4.5k $59k (exactly $58,845) Mizoriot Creative Company LTD., Fun2 St… (Mizoriot Creative Company LTD., Fun2 Studio CO., LTD.)
Rescue Operation older $3.99 253 87% 7.6k $30k (exactly $30,284) Laush Dmitriy Sergeevich
Epstein older $3.99 237 67% 7.1k $28k (exactly $28,369) GalaxyVerse
Kamikaze Strike: FPV Drone $5.99 48 83% 1.4k $8.6k (exactly $8,626) Dinomore Games
The Bunker $2.99 22 90% 660 $2.0k (exactly $1,973) Cyber752
DR4X $0.99 34 88% 1.0k $1.0k (exactly $1,010) Untrustedlife
Super Kingcrab Simulator $1.99 9 88% 270 $537 (exactly $537) !CyberApex (SkagoGames)
Warfront $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Michael Connelly, Drew Essary, Noah Llo… (Michael Connelly, Drew Essary, Noah Lloyd, Angello Sassarini)

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.