Do I ship it?

GamesWargameWargame + Point & Click

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Point & Click Wargame?

Wargame + Point & Click

Only 16 developers shipped a Point & Click Wargame in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Loot of Idle, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 10 developers shipped in the last year and 16 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 170% on the market, 16 announced, ×1.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Wargame + Point & Click
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $17k → $300 → $1.2k → $0 (still earning) → $600 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Wargame + Point & Click: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $899 (exactly $899)
Top 5% $2.0k (exactly $1,970)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 43
Announced 16
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 170% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Wargame
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Point & Click
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Wargame, Point & Click; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Action, Auto Battler
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, 2D, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 58% positive over 74 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $360, 1 in 4 over $890, 1 in 20 over $1.9k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 16 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Wargame with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Inventory ManagementFair21 devs · median $4.6k · 20 announced
  2. + Local MultiplayerFair28 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  3. + NavalFair37 devs · median $2.4k · 37 announced
  4. + TabletopFair50 devs · median $1.1k · 57 announced
  5. + LogicFair20 devs · median $599 · 26 announced
  6. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds11 devs · median $37k · 24 announced
  7. + Real-TimePoor odds13 devs · median $37k · 17 announced
  8. + Co-opPoor odds43 devs · median $21k · 84 announced
  9. + StealthPoor odds10 devs · median $21k · 39 announced
  10. + DiplomacyPoor odds34 devs · median $17k · 59 announced
  11. + Colony SimPoor odds24 devs · median $16k · 55 announced
  12. + SandboxPoor odds82 devs · median $14k · 142 announced

All 147 pairs on the Wargame page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Raid on Taihoku older $12.99 151 82% 4.5k $59k (exactly $58,845) Mizoriot Creative Company LTD., Fun2 St… (Mizoriot Creative Company LTD., Fun2 Studio CO., LTD.)
Encoded War older $11.99 48 77% 1.4k $17k (exactly $17,266) Somnolent Team
Field Hospital: Dr. Taylor's Story older $4.99 105 89% 3.2k $16k (exactly $15,718) Gard Interactive
War Mines: WW1 older $3.99 46 93% 1.4k $5.5k (exactly $5,506) Wild Pepper Games
War Mines: WW2 older $3.99 43 86% 1.3k $5.1k (exactly $5,147) Wild Pepper Games
Tankex older $1.99 50 76% 1.5k $3.0k (exactly $2,985) RewindApp
Loot of Idle $1.99 33 48% 990 $2.0k (exactly $1,970) DarkRook Interactive
消灭魔王军 Destroy the Demon Army older $5.00 13 38% 390 $2.0k (exactly $1,950) Blueprint Core
Dezinsector older $2.99 17 82% 510 $1.5k (exactly $1,525) Laush Dmitriy Sergeevich
Fly Fly Tank older $11.99 4 100% 120 $1.4k (exactly $1,439) Cmos Studio
Frontiers Reach : Battlespace · EA $7.99 5 100% 150 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) Blind Alien Productions
Black Border 2 $1.99 19 63% 570 $1.1k (exactly $1,134) Bitzooma
Epic Naval Battle Simulator $9.99 3 66% 90 $899 (exactly $899) ENBS Dev team
Court Wizard $4.00 5 100% 150 $600 (exactly $600) Blackhearth Games
Goblin Lands $14.99 1 100% 30 $450 (exactly $450) Hot Waffle Games
Omega Luma : The First Battle $12.99 1 0% 30 $390 (exactly $390) Mavi Game Studios
F2 A! Idle Army $2.99 4 50% 120 $359 (exactly $359) Chris Yu
Balkan Bloodbath $9.99 1 0% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Michael Richard Lannon
Humans Vs Orcs $4.99 2 0% 60 $299 (exactly $299) ShakyHand

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.