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Should I ship a Twin Stick Shooter Open World game?
Open World + Twin Stick Shooter
Only 7 developers shipped a Twin Stick Shooter Open World game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, RoadOut, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 32 more are announced, ×16 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 8 / 10 build.
Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $2.9k against a market of $1.5k. 32 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $2.8k (exactly $2,844) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.9k (exactly $2,936) |
| Top 25% | $6.9k (exactly $6,893) |
| Top 5% | $15k (exactly $15,290) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 7 |
| Released games | 45 |
| Announced | 32 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 60% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Open World
- effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
- Twin Stick Shooter
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- Open World, Twin Stick Shooter
- Price point
- $6.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 84% positive over 72,623 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $2.9k. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 32 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×16 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Open World with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + WuxiaFair
- + 4 Player LocalFair
- + VampiresFair
- + TrainsFair
- + FMVFair
- + GothicFair
- + MarsFair
- + TanksFair
- + FaithLong shot
- + DiplomacyPoor odds
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + Co-op CampaignPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | The Ascent | older | $29.99 | 19,235 74% | 577k | $17M (exactly $17,305,730) | Neon Giant |
| | RUINER | older | $19.99 | 10,338 89% | 310k | $6.2M (exactly $6,199,699) | Reikon Games |
| | Hatred | older | $5.99 | 25,770 84% | 773k | $4.6M (exactly $4,630,869) | Destructive Creations |
| | Minishoot' Adventures | older | $14.99 | 7,818 97% | 235k | $3.5M (exactly $3,515,755) | SoulGame Studio |
| | Atomicrops | older | $14.99 | 5,134 93% | 154k | $2.3M (exactly $2,308,760) | Bird Bath Games |
| | Decision: Red Daze | older | $19.99 | 855 74% | 26k | $513k (exactly $512,743) | FlyAnvil |
| | Shakedown: Hawaii | older | $19.99 | 645 90% | 19k | $387k (exactly $386,806) | Vblank Entertainment, Inc. |
| | Beat Hazard 3 | older | $19.99 | 586 84% | 18k | $351k (exactly $351,424) | Cold Beam Games |
| | BioGun | older | $19.99 | 488 87% | 15k | $293k (exactly $292,654) | Dapper Dog Digital |
| | Maniac | older | $4.99 | 1,754 90% | 53k | $263k (exactly $262,574) | Transhuman Design |
| | RoadOut | $14.99 | 34 97% | 1.0k | $15k (exactly $15,290) | Rastrolabs Game Studio | |
| | PAKO 4 | · EA | $9.99 | 23 91% | 690 | $6.9k (exactly $6,893) | Tree Men Games |
| | Under a Desert Sun: Seekers of the Cursed Vessel | · EA | $24.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $4.5k (exactly $4,498) | Revolving Gear Studios |
| | Grabbus | · EA | $6.99 | 14 78% | 420 | $2.9k (exactly $2,936) | Foxoplasm, LLC |
| | The Last Humble Bee | $4.99 | 19 89% | 570 | $2.8k (exactly $2,844) | Jacob Weersing | |
| | Devil Hunters | · EA | $3.99 | 8 62% | 240 | $958 (exactly $958) | Water Wood Games |
| | Forces of Ether | $6.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $210 (exactly $210) | Kaloyan Kaludov |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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