Games › Open World › Open World + Turn-Based
Should I ship a Turn-Based Open World game?
Open World + Turn-Based
Only 14 developers shipped a Turn-Based Open World game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Monster Hunter Stories 3: Twisted Reflection, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 26 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $57k, ×38 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $17k; 1 in 20 cleared $11M, ×7856 the market median. Revenue is down 75% on the market; 26 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $17k (exactly $16,546) |
|---|---|
| Median | $57k (exactly $56,662) |
| Top 25% | $151k (exactly $151,124) |
| Top 5% | $12M (exactly $11,768,818) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 14 |
| Released games | 167 |
| Announced | 26 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $19.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply 80% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Open World
- effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
- Turn-Based
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- Open World, Turn-Based; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Turn-Based Combat, Character Customization
- Price point
- $19.99 typical · top 25% priced $69.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Anime, Pixel Graphics, Story Rich
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $69.99 or above; the middle game at $19.99.
The top 10 games average 87% positive over 18,864 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $17k. 2 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 26 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Open World with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + WuxiaFair
- + 4 Player LocalFair
- + VampiresFair
- + TrainsFair
- + FMVFair
- + GothicFair
- + MarsFair
- + TanksFair
- + FaithLong shot
- + DiplomacyPoor odds
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + Co-op CampaignPoor odds
Comparable games
South Park™: The Stick of Truth™ 2014 · $55M 
Wartales 2023 · $34M 
HUMANKIND™ 2021 · $33M 
Divinity: Original Sin - Enhanced Edition 2015 · $33M 
South Park™: The Fractured But Whole™ 2017 · $29M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | South Park™: The Stick of Truth™ | older | $29.99 | 60,770 97% | 1.8M | $55M (exactly $54,674,769) | Obsidian Entertainment |
| | Wartales | older | $34.99 | 32,118 86% | 964k | $34M (exactly $33,714,265) | Shiro Games |
| | HUMANKIND™ | older | $49.99 | 22,165 68% | 665k | $33M (exactly $33,240,850) | AMPLITUDE Studios |
| | Divinity: Original Sin - Enhanced Edition | older | $39.99 | 27,485 88% | 825k | $33M (exactly $32,973,754) | Larian Studios |
| | South Park™: The Fractured But Whole™ | older | $29.99 | 31,985 85% | 960k | $29M (exactly $28,776,904) | Ubisoft San Francisco |
 | Wandering Sword | older | $24.99 | 37,034 94% | 1.1M | $28M (exactly $27,764,390) | The Swordman Studio |
 | Stoneshard | · EA older | $24.99 | 34,149 74% | 1.0M | $26M (exactly $25,601,505) | Ink Stains Games |
 | OCTOPATH TRAVELER™ | older | $59.99 | 13,923 85% | 418k | $25M (exactly $25,057,223) | Square Enix, ACQUIRE Corp. |
 | OCTOPATH TRAVELER II | older | $59.99 | 13,407 93% | 402k | $24M (exactly $24,128,578) | Square Enix, ACQUIRE Corp. |
 | ENDLESS Space™ 2 | older | $39.99 | 17,280 83% | 518k | $21M (exactly $20,730,816) | AMPLITUDE Studios |
 | Monster Hunter Stories 3: Twisted Reflection | $69.99 | 5,605 77% | 168k | $12M (exactly $11,768,818) | CAPCOM Co., Ltd. | |
 | Caves of Qud | $29.99 | 11,892 94% | 357k | $11M (exactly $10,699,232) | Freehold Games | |
 | NITRO GEN OMEGA | $29.99 | 398 83% | 12k | $358k (exactly $358,081) | DESTINYbit | |
 | Chaos Front | $19.99 | 252 59% | 7.6k | $151k (exactly $151,124) | Han Zhiyu | |
 | The Edge of Allegoria | $19.99 | 188 87% | 5.6k | $113k (exactly $112,744) | Button Factory Games | |
 | Glorious Companions | $19.99 | 182 61% | 5.5k | $109k (exactly $109,145) | Ancient Forge | |
 | Tomomon | $14.99 | 126 70% | 3.8k | $57k (exactly $56,662) | ManicBuild Studio | |
 | Lords of Ravage | $9.99 | 138 66% | 4.1k | $41k (exactly $41,359) | Synthetic Domain | |
 | KAMiBAKO - Mythology of Cube - | $29.99 | 37 64% | 1.1k | $33k (exactly $33,289) | GRAVITY GAME ARISE | |
 | Ruinlander | · EA | $11.99 | 46 69% | 1.4k | $17k (exactly $16,546) | wineviper |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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