Games › Open World › Open World + Submarine
Should I ship a Submarine Open World game?
Open World + Submarine
Only 10 developers shipped a Submarine Open World game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Modern Naval Warfare, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 18 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.4k, ×1.6 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $420k, ×285 the market median. Revenue is up 915% on the market; 18 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $449 (exactly $449) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.4k (exactly $2,399) |
| Top 25% | $6.3k (exactly $6,294) |
| Top 5% | $427k (exactly $426,529) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 10 |
| Released games | 36 |
| Announced | 18 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 915% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Open World
- effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
- Submarine
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- Open World, Submarine
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 80% positive over 686 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $450. 18 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Open World with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + WuxiaFair
- + 4 Player LocalFair
- + VampiresFair
- + TrainsFair
- + FMVFair
- + GothicFair
- + MarsFair
- + TanksFair
- + FaithLong shot
- + DiplomacyPoor odds
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + Co-op CampaignPoor odds
Comparable games
UBOAT 2024 · $23M 
Cold Waters 2017 · $5.5M 
War on the Sea 2021 · $3.8M 
Under The Waves 2023 · $1.5M 
The Fisherman - Fishing Planet 2019 · $877k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | UBOAT | older | $29.99 | 25,568 83% | 767k | $23M (exactly $23,003,530) | Deep Water Studio |
| | Cold Waters | older | $39.99 | 4,603 87% | 138k | $5.5M (exactly $5,522,219) | Killerfish Games |
| | War on the Sea | older | $39.99 | 3,151 76% | 95k | $3.8M (exactly $3,780,255) | Killerfish Games |
| | Under The Waves | older | $29.99 | 1,683 77% | 50k | $1.5M (exactly $1,514,195) | Parallel Studio |
| | The Fisherman - Fishing Planet | older | $29.99 | 975 62% | 29k | $877k (exactly $877,208) | Fishing Planet LLC |
 | Silent Hunter® III | older | $9.99 | 2,544 87% | 76k | $762k (exactly $762,437) | Ubisoft |
 | Silent Hunter 5®: Battle of the Atlantic | older | $9.99 | 2,450 44% | 74k | $734k (exactly $734,265) | Ubisoft Romania |
 | IronWolf VR | older | $19.99 | 1,087 94% | 33k | $652k (exactly $651,874) | Ionized Studios |
 | Diluvion: Resubmerged | older | $19.99 | 1,032 61% | 31k | $619k (exactly $618,890) | Arachnid Games |
 | Modern Naval Warfare | · EA | $59.99 | 237 58% | 7.1k | $427k (exactly $426,529) | Wave Ops |
 | Behind Glass: Aquarium Simulator | $14.99 | 390 95% | 12k | $175k (exactly $175,383) | BitBros Inc | |
 | A Tale of Silent Depths | $9.99 | 21 80% | 630 | $6.3k (exactly $6,294) | Crit42 Studio | |
 | Dark of the Depths | $4.99 | 17 70% | 510 | $2.5k (exactly $2,545) | GhastlyVastly | |
 | ARTDINK GAME LOG: Aquanaut's Holiday | $19.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $2.4k (exactly $2,399) | ARTDINK | |
 | Depth Diver | · EA | $9.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $899 (exactly $899) | Nerra Tolstoï, FLaV |
 | Big Fish | $4.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $449 (exactly $449) | TOQ Games | |
 | Wake Explorer | $1.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $298 (exactly $298) | Ocelli | |
 | Aquascaping Designer | $0.99 | 5 0% | 150 | $148 (exactly $148) | Nipinfo | |
 | Tethyscope | · EA | $2.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $90 (exactly $90) | Chris Madsen |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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