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Should I ship a Spaceship Open World game?
Open World + Spaceships
Only 9 developers shipped a Spaceship Open World game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Ostranauts, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×1.2 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $1.8M, ×1256 the market median. Revenue is up 187365% on the market; 24 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.8k (exactly $1,799) |
| Top 25% | $157k (exactly $156,687) |
| Top 5% | $1.9M (exactly $1,881,259) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 9 |
| Released games | 31 |
| Announced | 24 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $11.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 187365% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Open World
- effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
- Spaceships
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- Open World
- Price point
- $11.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $34.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 46,363 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 24 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Open World with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + WuxiaFair
- + 4 Player LocalFair
- + VampiresFair
- + TrainsFair
- + FMVFair
- + GothicFair
- + MarsFair
- + TanksFair
- + FaithLong shot
- + DiplomacyPoor odds
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + Co-op CampaignPoor odds
Comparable games
Avorion 2020 · $9.7M 
Spaceflight Simulator 2022 · EA · $4.2M 
Starpoint Gemini Warlords 2017 · $3.2M 
Starpoint Gemini 2 2014 · $3.2M 
Chorus 2021 · $2.9M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Avorion | older | $24.99 | 13,001 90% | 390k | $9.7M (exactly $9,746,850) | Boxelware |
| | Spaceflight Simulator | · EA older | $14.99 | 9,431 96% | 283k | $4.2M (exactly $4,241,121) | Team Curiosity ✦ |
| | Starpoint Gemini Warlords | older | $34.99 | 3,076 72% | 92k | $3.2M (exactly $3,228,877) | Little Green Men Games |
| | Starpoint Gemini 2 | older | $34.99 | 3,021 70% | 91k | $3.2M (exactly $3,171,144) | Little Green Men Games |
| | Chorus | older | $24.99 | 3,876 81% | 116k | $2.9M (exactly $2,905,837) | Deep Silver Fishlabs |
 | PULSAR: Lost Colony | older | $19.99 | 4,409 89% | 132k | $2.6M (exactly $2,644,077) | Leafy Games |
 | Star Valor | older | $24.99 | 3,272 88% | 98k | $2.5M (exactly $2,453,018) | Rafael Burgos |
 | Ostranauts | $19.99 | 3,137 77% | 94k | $1.9M (exactly $1,881,259) | Blue Bottle Games | |
 | Starminer | · EA | $29.99 | 1,818 72% | 55k | $1.6M (exactly $1,635,655) | CoolAndGoodGames |
 | Starship EVO | · EA older | $24.99 | 1,322 82% | 40k | $991k (exactly $991,103) | Moonfire Entertainment |
 | BattleGroupVR2 | · EA | $24.99 | 209 85% | 6.3k | $157k (exactly $156,687) | SpaceOwl Games |
 | Space Menace 2 | $9.99 | 20 75% | 600 | $6.0k (exactly $5,994) | Only4Gamers | |
 | Hired Stars | · EA | $19.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $1.8k (exactly $1,799) | Mark Kaps |
 | Silver Waffle | $4.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $150 (exactly $150) | Steve Yrjänä | |
 | Off Course ELEMENTS of SPACE | · EA | $9.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | JG |
 | Deepest Blue | · EA | $11.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Steve Turner |
 | Space Town: Kids & Toddlers Space Exploration | · EA | $9.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Crater Studios |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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