Do I ship it?

GamesOpen WorldOpen World + Score Attack

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Score Attack Open World game?

Open World + Score Attack

Of 24 developers who shipped a Score Attack Open World game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 40 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $630, ×0.4 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210. 40 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper, while revenue is flat on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 40 announced, ×3.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Open World + Score Attack
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 24
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.0k → $1.1k → $2.2k → $405 → $1.3k → $0 → $1.8k (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Open World + Score Attack: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 24
Bottom 30% $210 (exactly $210)
Median $628 (exactly $628)
Top 25% $3.3k (exactly $3,297)
Top 5% $28k (exactly $27,805)
Developers, 2 yr 24
Released games 81
Announced 40
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Open World
effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
Score Attack
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Open World, Score Attack; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Arcade
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Cartoon, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 528 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $630, 1 in 4 over $3.2k, 1 in 20 over $27k.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. 8 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 40 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Open World with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + WuxiaFair12 devs · median $634k · 17 announced
  2. + 4 Player LocalFair14 devs · median $82k · 20 announced
  3. + VampiresFair15 devs · median $23k · 21 announced
  4. + TrainsFair27 devs · median $21k · 25 announced
  5. + FMVFair11 devs · median $14k · 13 announced
  6. + GothicFair25 devs · median $5.4k · 32 announced
  7. + MarsFair12 devs · median $2.2k · 15 announced
  8. + TanksFair9 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  9. + FaithLong shot11 devs · median $716 · 14 announced
  10. + DiplomacyPoor odds13 devs · median $1.8M · 38 announced
  11. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds8 devs · median $767k · 11 announced
  12. + Co-op CampaignPoor odds17 devs · median $267k · 65 announced

All 240 pairs on the Open World page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
WRC 8 FIA World Rally Championship older $29.99 2,007 74% 60k $1.8M (exactly $1,805,698) KT Racing
Superflight older $2.99 11,047 96% 331k $991k (exactly $990,916) GrizzlyGames
Absolute Drift older $14.99 2,192 89% 66k $986k (exactly $985,742) Funselektor Labs Inc., FlippFly
Zombie Driver HD older $9.99 2,770 84% 83k $830k (exactly $830,169) Exor Studios
Maniac older $4.99 1,754 90% 53k $263k (exactly $262,574) Transhuman Design
Death From Above: A Ukrainian Drone Warstory older $9.99 618 89% 19k $185k (exactly $185,215) Rockodile
Truck-kun is Supporting Me from Another World?! $19.99 238 83% 7.1k $143k (exactly $142,729) Strange Scaffold
Evergarden older $9.99 120 87% 3.6k $36k (exactly $35,964) Flippfly LLC
Parcel Corps $7.99 116 62% 3.5k $28k (exactly $27,805) Billy Goat Entertainment Ltd
MAD WAY older $8.99 93 86% 2.8k $25k (exactly $25,082) SMB CLUB
Sniper Camouflage Orange Spy Warrior I Buried Two Bodies in the Garden and the Police Haven't Figured Out Yet That They're Missing Because They Were a Lonely Old Couple Who Had No Relatives Simulator 2026 · EA $9.99 77 66% 2.3k $23k (exactly $23,077) The Only Way Out
Warm Monkey $9.00 47 89% 1.4k $13k (exactly $12,690) Evprod
PAKO 4 · EA $9.99 23 91% 690 $6.9k (exactly $6,893) Tree Men Games
Idyllic cats: Japan $9.99 11 100% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) GameRED indie
Jack's 510 Racing $9.99 7 100% 210 $2.1k (exactly $2,098) heartingNinja
RAGING BILL $19.99 3 66% 90 $1.8k (exactly $1,799) ARTPUNK STUDIO
DA PAPER BOY $10.99 4 75% 120 $1.3k (exactly $1,319) 3D Dojo Studios
Wingsuit: Romsdalen $16.99 2 100% 60 $1.0k (exactly $1,019) Ninja Whale Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.